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The Study That The Efficiency Improvement And Upgrading Of The Industrial Structure Influence On Economic Growth

Posted on:2015-01-03Degree:DoctorType:Dissertation
Country:ChinaCandidate:S B YangFull Text:PDF
GTID:1109330467975109Subject:Western economics
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The new classical economic growth theory is based on general equilibrium theory. The theory didn’t consider effect of structural changes,and think that every industry increase by the same proportion. Chenery put forward the structural economic growth theory, and points out that each industry is non proportional extension, and some industries in the rapid growth, some industries in decline. In fact, the new industry or sector continuously generate in economic growth, and the development rate of industry or sector is different, so the rate of economic growth are different. Structuralism scholars think that capital, labor and technology are organized together to manufacture in the certain industrial structure, and for a given capital, labor and technology, in the different industrial structure there are different economic growth rate. efficiency and benefit generated by capital and labor from one sector to another sector is different, and from low productivity sectors to high productivity sectors capital and labour can accelerate economic growth, which brought the structure bonus.In fact, there is relationship between industrial structure change and economic growth, both influence each other. in the technology advances and flow of production factors, industrial structure change will affect economic growth; economic growth also exist differences between different departments, which causes the production factors flowing among departments, so the economic growth will also affect the changes of industrial structure.According to the structuralism view, the industrial structure changes will affect the economic growth.On the basis of different economic growth theory or industrial economic theory, economic scholars made the qualitative and mathematical model analysis, econometric model analysis to the impact on the economic growth on the change of industrial structure from the transfer of production factors, changes within the industry and other aspects. About study on economic growth on the change of industrial structure, from Adam Smith and David Ricardo’s theory of division of labor to Chenery’ structuralism theory, Joseph Alois Schumpeter’s "creative destruction" theory, Simon Smith Kuznets’s "U" curve theory and then to the new classical economic growth theory, the theory of endogenous technology affection to economic growth of new growth theory and industrial structure change affection to economic growth, study continue in-depth, and continuously expand study field. I studied the impact on the economic growth on the change of industrial structure and made the theoretical and empirical research mainly from the change of industrial structure, the transfer of production factors between the division, different technological progress of every departments and different capital accumulation of every departments.From the point of history of economic development, differences of the initial technical level of agriculture, industry, service industry also lead to differences in the rate of technological progress. The rise of the rate of technological progress can improve labor productivity, improve the efficiency and promote the upgrading of the industrial structure and economic growth. While the production factor transfer from low efficiency to high efficiency department can bring the structure bonus. the process that the upgrading of the industrial structure influence on economic growth is a process of continuous efficiency improvement. In the study that the upgrading of the industrial structure promote economic growth, I also study the function of efficiency improvement.In the research methods, early analysis on economic growth mainly adopts the method of total analysis, then some scholars began to pay attention to the impact of the industrial structure to economic growth, and adopt the methods of structural analysis. In this paper, based on a large number of the analysis of documents and theoretical mathematical model I made econometric model analysis, and the qualitative analysis combined with quantitative analysis, dynamic analysis combined with static analysis,comprehensive analysis combined with local analysis.In the framework of the study, this paper discuss according to the order of problems, literature review, theoretical model, empirical analysis, further research, conclusion and suggestions.In the theoretical model analysis, based on a comprehensive study of the new literature to the economic structure and economic growth, I analyzed the economic growth that is closer to economic facts in the process of industrialization of the developing countries, and combined with the "generalized Kuznets facts"and "Kaldor facts", and Put forward the Solow growth based on the changes of industrial structure, and established a mathematical model considering structural changes.In the model, this paper analyzes the impact of technology index in the proportion of output value of three departments, labor force proportion of three departments and gross output,and I think that technical progress rate directly affect the labor force transfer in each department, also affect the total output, thereby affect economic growth.Based on the empirical analysis, in the paper,I made empirical analysis to that the efficiency improvement and upgrading of industrial structure influence on the economic growth. In order to further study, from the metropolitan, Shanghai and single industry etc. this article carry on the empirical analysis on that the efficiency improvement and upgrading of industrial structure influence on the economic growth.Firstly, in the paper, from the metropolitan and regional, by the model, I analyzed the industrial structure influences the economic growth, and select Jiangsu provinces, Zhejiang provinces, Shanghai city that have closer location, higher level of economic development, lower proportion of the first industry, stronger industrial convergence degree, more industrial agglomeration area, higher density city, and made econometric model analysis about those provinces and city. On this basis, I furtherly analyzed the differences of industrial structure influence on economic growth in three provinces city.In conclusion, in the three provinces city of Yangtze River Delta, the change direction of the second and third industrial structure and economic growth are same; in the third industry’s contribution to economic growth of the third provinces city, the third industry is lower greatly than the second industry; in the impact on economic growth of change of employment, the second industry is positive change and the third industry is reverse change; effect of employment structure was greater than the effect of output structure, and their influence on economic growth need to be displayed through a long time; impact on the employment structure is mainly caused by the shock, and economic growth and output structure impact to employment structure are relatively stable, but the effect of economic growth was greater than the effect of output value structure; in effect on the structure of output value, in the short-term effect of the three is larger, but in the long run, the effect of employment structure is the largest, and its effect is increasing.Secondly, in the paper, take Shanghai as an example, using the shift share method in the structural bonus hypothesis means, I analyzed that the changes of industrial structure of Shanghai influence on economic growth, and selected two criteria:the eastern standard and Chinese standard, and confirmed the results may vary as the differences between standard selection, but the shift share method still has some explanatory power to the economic reality. In conclusion, Shanghai’s industrial competitiveness is in the forefront, the degree of contribution of structure is higher, and the degree of industrial structure is higher than average level of the national and the East at a leading level, and the advantage of Shanghai lies in the third industry.Thirdly, in the paper, using Deng’s grey relational method, I analyzed three industries contribution to economic growth of Shanghai since the founding of the PRC to the present, and further comparatively analyzed the characteristics of each stage. and comparatively analyse Industry Relevancy of the various stages of Shanghai City and the two provinces in the east and central, and further made a qualitative and comparative analysis to contribution of three industry and efficiency improvement in the various stages. In conclusion, from the founding to the present, the contribution to economic growth of first, second and third industry of Shanghai is the second, third and first industry from high to low, but contribution of the third industry increases gradually, in the new century, and contribution of third industry of Shanghai achieve maximum.Fourthly, in the paper, I analyzed the difference between manufacturing and service industry on economic growth. take International metropolis Shanghai as an example, I analyzed that efficiency improvement and service industry of the big city influence on economic growth. Considering that Shanghai have a higher proportion of producer service industry and modern service industry, the financial industry and logistics industry have larger contribution, international and agglomeration of domestic resources and application of modern technologies in the service industry, through empirical analysis, I think structural changes of service industry of Shanghai have more significant contribution to economic growth, and that the high-end labor, international capital transfer to Shanghai brought the ascension of service level, and in some big city "Baumol’s disease" does not exist.Based on the above theoretical model and empirical analysis, this paper made further studies, and mainly made analysis from growth effects of the transfer of factors and efficiency improvement, efficiency improvement by obstacle breakthrough and path dependence.In the paper, I analyzed the comprehensive effect of efficiency improvement and industrial structure change on economic growth, and made the decomposition to the comprehensive effect according to the affection factors, and analyzed the substitute effect and the complementary effect of transfer of elements.Technology and system breakthrough, the optimal allocation of elements and industrial agglomeration, industrial integration can bring efficiency improvements, the upgrading of the industrial structure, and promote economic growth.In the paper, in the industrial structure influence on economic growth, this paper put forward the concept and theory hypothesis of π efficiency, and some technology, systems, facilities, open "obstacle" breakthrough can bring double efficiency increases on that other conditions remain unchanged, and then change the industrial structure and promote the economic growth. That is to say, through the obstacle and efficiency breakthrough,the change of industrial structure promote economic growth.π efficiency is still just a hypothesis, still need further verification and. In the paper from aspects of technology, systems, facilities, opening I also put forward the path of the obstacle breakthrough and efficiency improvement.The paper also analyzed the trend, history and characteristics of the shift of elements, the upgrading of the industrial structure, based on that the obstacle breakthrough can lead to efficiency improvement, and from technology, mechanism, facilities, opening and the brand I put forward the path that the obstacles breakthrough and efficiency improvement promote the upgrading of the industrial structure and economic growth.In the last chapter, the thesis summarizes the conclusion, and from obstacle breakthrough to efficiency improvement and the transfer of production elements I put forward the idea that the efficiency improvement and upgrading of industrial structure influence on the economic growth, and give policy and recommendations of transfer of factors, the efficiency improvement and upgrading of industrial structure.The possible innovation of this paper includes:based on "the generalized Cruz Nez facts" and "the Kaldor facts", and on the base of the Solow growth model this paper join the influence of the change of industrial structure, and this paper analyse that the efficiency improvement and changes of industrial structure influence on the economic growth; put forward the hypothesis of π efficiency and that still need further verification, and analyse its impact on upgrading of industrial structure and economic growth. The shortcomings of the thesis is that some conclusions could not be further proved using the econometric model due to the lack of real data.In future research, I will use more realistic data to carry out empirical analysis, and some conclusions will be roundly analysed.
Keywords/Search Tags:industrial structure, economic growth, the structural bonus hypothesis, efficiency improvement
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