The Model And Path Selection Of Hainan Industrial Structure Optimization With Factor And Market Constraints

The State Council issued " the certain opinions on promoting the construction ofHainan international tourism island development " in December2009, and theconstruction of Hainan international tourism island as a national strategy startedformally. The construction of international tourism island demanded that Hainan musttake a new type industrialization road of " high technological content, good economicreturns, low energy consumption, less environmental pollution, full developingresource advantages ". In the context of the serious global financial crisis, economicrecovery is very slow and trade protectionism is prevalent in many western developedcountries, and the "external shocks" caused serious negative effect on Hainanindustrial structure optimization.The change of Hainan three industrial capital stock structure and employmentstructure are relatively monotonous in1978-2010. The changes of Hainanproductivity level and its growth rate among the three industries exist biggerdifference, which meets " structure bonus hypothesis " premise condition. Hainan TFPgrowth comes mainly from internal growth effect in1978-2010."Structure bonushypothesis " of labor elements transfer has long been established in1978-2010,but thecapital transfer has been established in the early stage,that is,in1978-1994.it is truethat the real estate bubble in1993produced far-reaching negative effect on Hainaneconomy growth.Hainan is a typical island economy. The double serious constraints of elementsand market lead to Hainan industrial structure′s deformity and low,which mainlyreflected that the proportion of the first industry added value is high, and theproportion of the second industry and the tertiary industry added value is too low andmakes to contribution rate and the pull rate of the three industries uncertain.Reviewing world industrialized history, since Britain having begun the industrialrevolution in late eighteenth Century into the industrial society, human society hasexperienced the Anglo-American mode, Japan and Germany mode, new burgeoningindustrialized mode and modern industrialized mode.The four modes are fused to eachother, and they can relax the constraint conditions of the industrial structureoptimization from supply and demand perspective. Because of the optimization ofHainan industrial structure facing the double serious constraints, Hainan is very difficult to optimize industrial structure depending only on the single path mode.Itmust draw lessons from reasonable elements of world industrialization success mode,and implement "the multi path integration mode ".The market configuration has the effect of industrial structure optimization. Onone hand the market allocation can make use of resources into Pareto efficiency, andpromote the rationalization of industrial structure; on the other hand, the marketcompetes will encourage enterprises through technological innovation, meetconstantly consumer for the new demand, improved hierarchy of needs, and promotethe upgrading of industrial structure. According to the research methods of Fang Gangand Zhuo Yongliang, et al., the paper undertakes comparative study on marketingprocess from the ownership structure, the transformation of government functions,market development and system dynamic and extroversion degree et al.. In recent10years, Hainan Marketing reform have certain progress whether scores or rankings.With the market force strengthened, the autonomy of enterprises gradually has beenenhanced, the regional comparative advantages have been developed, leading theregions of the similar comparative advantage into the convergence of industrialstructure, and the regions of the different resource condition into the divergence ofindustrial structure. The study finds, Hainan market-oriented reform and therelationship of industrial structure meet the general law above. Developing marketingreform, with Hainan’s natural endowment structure different from other provinces,similar coefficient of Hainan industrial structure is narrowing stage by stage, and thedeveiopment of the marketing process has divergence effect. At present thedivergence effect of the market allocation is essentially the performance of Hainanindustrial structure rationalization.Through performing economic function and selecting the adequate andappropriate industrial policies,the local government may promote industrial structureoptimization. The local government behaviors face with the constraint conditions offiscal decentralization system, index evaluation mechanism and official selectionsystem et al,then given four hypotheses about the self-interest, limited rationality,action consistency and independence et al., the objective of the local government is tomaximize the effectiveness,as the microcosmic main body. Available major industrialpolicy tools of Hainan local government include: investment and financing policy,taxation policy, land policy and the policy of opening to the outside world et al..Because they have its own advantages and disadvantages in the adjustment ofindustrial structure, we must strengthen effective cooperation between industrial policies with the promotion of the industrial structure adjustment. The cause ofgovernment intervention in the economy is "market failure", and the main reasons ofmarket failure are external economy. Taxing at the generators of negative externaleconomic, and giving corresponding allowance at the generators of positive externaleconomic, the government can eliminate effectively the difference of the private costand social cost, and the deviation of the private interest and social interest, ensure thenormal function of reasonable allocation resources of the market mechanism, andpromote the industrial structure optimization. Scale economy and industrial relationsprovide the basis for Hainan local government interventing effectively tourism. In thispaper, the empirical research shows that the Hainan government intervention hasstrong effect of industrial structure adjustment.The development of higher education not only can promote the development ofeducation industry, and optimize directly the industrial structure, but also cancultivate advanced elements, and relax the constraints of Hainan industry structureoptimization through scientific and technological innovation.From supply side,scientific and technological innovation has industrial structure optimization effect,mainly through improving laborer quality, improving the production corporealtechnology basis, enlarging labor object scope, and improving the level ofmanagement and other ways to achieve; from demand side, scientific andtechnological innovation has industrial structure optimization effect, mainly throughinfluencing investment, consumption and export demand, with the help of demandstructure change to achieve. In order to research empirically the interactiverelationship between the informatization and industrialization,respectively since thereform and opening up and since building a province and establishing the special zonein Hainan, this paper establishes two VAR model, and conduct regressionestimation,using the relevant data in1978-2010years and in1987-2010years. Fromthe estimation result, since the reform and opening up, especially since building aprovince and establishing the special zone, Hainan informatization has a strongpositive effect on industrialization, and at the same time the industrialization also hasa strong positive effect on informatization.Hainan open economy has experienced a fall after rising big cycle since thereform and opening up. Through regression analysis, the import trade and theabsorption of FDI in Hainan has a strong positive technology spillover effect, and theexport trade in Hainan has a strong negative spillover effect. Export and import tradehave a negative effect or an unremakable positive effect on Hainan industrial structure optimization, while FDI and the stock of human capital have a positive effect onHainan industrial structure optimization. In Hainan three industrial intern, tropicalmodern agriculture, new typye industry and modern service industry is very weak inthe status of the national economy. In the development of the international tourismisland, Hainan must fuse the market allocation, the effective government interventionand the innovation of science and technology, implement multi path integration mode,and promote Hainan industrial structure optimization.