Study On International Trade Of Broiler Products In China

Facing many problems of broiler industry of China, increasingly fierce international competition and the impact of foreign broiler products on domestic broiler industry, this paper chooses the international trade of broiler products as its research subject, and analyzes the current situation of Chinese broiler industry and its characteristic in international market, compares the differences between china and the world major producers and exporters of broiler products, analyzes the Chinese broiler industry's international competitiveness, and proposes reasonable policy recommendations within WTO regulations.Based on large amounts of data, this paper studies the changing rule and development trend of broiler industry, then analyzes the price pattern of broiler industry as well as income elasticity of demand of broiler products in using analysis method that statistical describe analysis with econometric models simulation, and set up econometric models for exports and imports of china's broiler products, simulates the impact of major factors on exports and imports of broiler industry, then studies quantity characteristics of international trade and quantity changing relationship from the aspects of China's import and export. With new data and combining with the case of US dumping white feather broiler products, the paper also analyzes the international competitiveness of Broiler products of China, and international competitive advantage of American broiler industry and American government's support to broiler industry.The results show that: (1) Broiler industry has developed rapidly in China. At present, the production and consumption of China's broiler products rank second in the world. The import of broiler product of China ranks among the highest in the world, however the export of it is smaller. China's consumption level of average per capita of broiler products is low, which shows that there is great potential for China's broiler industry. (2) The export market for China's broiler industry is single and risky. The products'major exported destination country (region) are Japan and Hong Kong, live broilers, fresh cold products are mainly exported to Hong Kong and Macao, processed products are mainly exported to Japan, EU, Korea and Hong Kong, the main source of imports is the United States. In recent years, the products export growth was slower than import growth. Since 2002, China has been shifted from the previous net exporter into a net importer for broiler products; and after 2003, it has been switched from the uncooked mainly in the past to cooked products in the recent. (3) The import of China's broiler industry is mainly influenced by Chinese population, the actual exchange rate RMB against the U.S. dollar, and the import policy after the entry of WTO. (4) China's exports of broiler products are significantly affected by the domestic supply, the RMB exchange rate against the U.S. dollar, whether to join the WTO (to some extent reflect the changes in trade policy) and whether the bird flu occurred. (5) The international competitiveness of Chinese broiler products is weak and even weaker in recent years. The market share of the world for Chinese broiler products is less; the revealed comparative advantage index of Chinese broiler products has been shown a downward trend in recent years, since 2002, trade competitiveness index has turned negative from the positive. In the recent years, the United States dumped a large number of broiler products to China, which caused great impact to the stable development of China's broiler industry. (6) No matter from broiler industry technology, scale, product prices, the degree of processing, or from market diversification development, the United States has all international competitive advantages, which is not divided from the market access, domestic support and export competition policy support from the United States government.Finally, the paper proposes the policy recommendations for strengthening China's international competitiveness of broiler industry and promoting the healthy and steady growth of china's broiler industry, and points out study derection in the future.