| Science and technology competitiveness plays an increasingly important role in enhancing the competitiveness of a country or region, and its improvement is not only a necessity for the current construction of an innovative country and cities but a significant way to realize such regional development strategies as "The Rise of the Central Region" in China. The dissertation tries to establish the theoretical system of the regional science and technology competitiveness by probing into its concept and formation, present situation, future development and promotion measures.In the first part of the dissertation, a "diamond model" is built to illustrate the concept of regional science and technology competitiveness and a theory is raised about its formation. With an analysis of the elements of competition behavior, it is considered that the regional science and technology competitiveness is a unity of the five components of regional science and technology strength, output power, competition efficiency, promotion force and affinity and in this way the "diamond model" is constructed. Further, a formation theory is put forward based on the anatomy of the formation and operation of regional science and technology competitiveness as well as the power mechanism of diffusion and innovation of science and technology and its functional mechanism. To support the above-mentioned concept model and formation mechanism, and with reference to correlation theory, an empirical three-step study is carried out about the correlation between science and technology and social development of the six central China's provincial capitals. To begin with, an evaluation index system of regional science and technology and social development is constructed respectively and with the help of factor analysis, acquired is a comprehensive evaluation of the developments of the six central China's provincial capitals from the year of 2000 to 2009. Next, Kolmogorov-Smirnov test and Normal P-P analysis are conducted to find out that both the developments are normal distribution. And Granger Causality test shows a highly linear positive correlation and a reciprocal causation exist between them. Namely, the correlation is confirmed between science and technology development and social development of the six provincial capitals. Finally, one-dimensional linear regression analysis is made with one being the dependent variable and the other being the in dependent variable. As a result, a sample regression function comes out which mirrors their specific correlation forms.In the second part, a comprehensive evaluation system of regional science and technology competitiveness is established, based on which an empirical research is conducted on the competitiveness evaluation of the six provincial capitals. First, regional science and technology competitiveness evaluation index system is set up out of its five components. And then the method of Gray Relational analysis is chosen to evaluate Gray Relational Degree of the indexes, and analytic hierarchy process is introduced to determine the weights of indexes. Thereby, weighted grey relational degree is obtained as a comprehensive evaluation value of regional science and technology competitiveness. It can be regarded as a reflection of regional science and technology competitiveness level and can be used directly as a ranking reference and for further analysis. Finally, an empirical research is conducted on science and technology competitiveness evaluation of the six capitals. Thus, their comprehensive evaluation values of science and technology competitiveness from 2000 to 2009 are obtained, and the evaluation results are compared and analyzed according to the comprehensive evaluation of science and technology competitiveness and its five components mentioned above.In the third part, the system dynamics simulation models of the science and technology competitiveness of the six capitals are built respectively and they are used to evaluate in a simulative way the development of their science and technology competitiveness in the years from 2010 to 2020. First, the Variable System of Level and Rate is established based on the concept of regional science and technology competitiveness, the Bipartite Graph of Level and Rate as well; next, five rate variable fundamental in-trees are constructed for every cities based on the regional science and technology competitiveness evaluation index system, historical data of the six capitals from 2000 to 2009 and their twelfth five year guideline and the five in-trees are united to form a network of flow graphs. This is how the system dynamics simulation models of the science and technology competitiveness of the six capitals during the years from 2000 to 2020 are built. The reliability analysis of the models partially proves that they are compatible with the actual data. Finally, a comparative analysis and assessment of the upcoming development of the six capitals'science and technology competitiveness is conducted in light of its five components indexes,13 secondary indexes such as labor, financial and administrative power together with the evaluation results of the system dynamics models of the years from 2010 to 2020.Finally, two batteries of strategies are proposed to improve regional science and technology competitiveness and the effect is analyzed with a basic feedback model. Focused on the optimization of regional science and technology system, the first battery of strategies covers the following aspects:expanding the subjects of regional science and technology, establishing and perfecting the investment system and the service efficiency of the funds, and consolidating the development foundation of regional science and technology. Centered on the correlation between science and society, the second group includes accelerating the common prosperity of science and economy and balanced development between science and society in addition to fostering new growth poles and cultivating innovation zones. The effect of the above strategies is then analyzed with a basic feedback model and seven basic models of the competitiveness development are worked out and effect of corresponding strategies is illustrated.The dissertation is innovative in the following four ways:Firstly, by establishing the "diamond model", it highlights a new concept of regional science and technology competitiveness;Secondly, based on the concept elaborated by the "diamond model", it proposes a formation mechanism of regional science and technology competitiveness, works out the study procedures of the correlation between regional science and technology and social development and establishes a comprehensive evaluation system of region science and technology competitiveness.Thirdly, it creatively employs the methods of system dynamics in the simulation evaluation of the future development of the regional science and technology competitiveness, which widens the time dimension of the evaluation.Fourthly, it erects basic feedback models on which the effect of proposed strategies is analyzed, as a result of which, a new way of analyzing basic feedback models is created during the process of systemic thinking.This dissertation proposes a comparatively systematic theory of regional science and technology competitiveness and its conclusion can serve as a guide for the development of the six provincial capitals as it takes them as the study cases. Therefore, the dissertation is theoretically significant for the rise of the six central China's provincial capitals and it is equally important for the improvement of regional science and technology competitiveness across the whole nation and the construction of an innovative country and cities.
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