Research On Regional High/New-Technology Industry Development Based On Technology Foresight

In recent years, the climatic change, energy dissipation, the biological multiplicity reduced, chemical contamination, the urbanization confusion and polar ozone layer cavity phenomenon and so on have been unprecedentedly intensified. They had become enormous hidden danger of the human development. Series events came forth such as Pusztai, king butterfly, SARS, poultry flu and soon, enabled people to achieve the unprecedented stature to the technology development attention. The normative development of future technologies will be doubtless the most direct method to the humankind corresponding living condition safeguard and the most important confidence index. The Report of the Sixteenth National Congress expounded profoundly that, realizes population, economy, society, environment and resources benign interaction in the development. But the realization of this goal, needs the more effective national macroscopic policy-making pattern and method that develops strategies. At present some countries already succeeded the attempt utilization of technology foresight decision—making pattern, adapted the megatrends at the present era that society, economy and science technology develop, provided a new cognition method which will challenge to the future, created new recognition mechanism which choose the future direction. The tally of the technology foresight method and the train of thoughts about development of the human, will make the application of technology foresight pattern appear huge value in the exploration of our national science& technology development strategies not only in theoretically but also in the practice.On the basis of sum-up and pectination to the domestic and foreign technology foresight situation at present and the research , this paper explicitly the concept of technology foresight, and centers on the frame system to spread: First, is research on the research on the theory of technology foresight; Secondly, is to unify the technology foresight and regional high/new-technology industry development, elaborate concretely various aspect questions which needs to be clear when the technology foresight method applied in the regional high/new-technology industry development; Third, is final establishment of the regional science and technology developmental programming based on the above technology foresight research.There has been a wider recognition that middle-level technology foresight process is an important part of regional innovation system. Technology foresight and regional innovation system should he integrated so as to get comprehensive understanding of the emerging technologies and their social impacts. Fore mostly, what the article will give is a useful aid to our country on the long-term planning and formulation of S & T.High-tech is known as the rising sun industry. However, it is also a kind of technology taking on high risk. Great changes have taken place in the mechanism and level of risk brought by modern technology. With the acceleration of socialization, risk has become the internal property of technology instead of exterior quality. Technology estimation constitutes the foundation of consummating technology and the precondition of reducing risk. Technology foresight is significant to the risk regulation. The essential difference between traditional risk and modern risk calls for new governing system which considers fully the value conception in social culture.Being emphasized on the background of technology foresight and key technology choice, we have made an instructive probe into the basic principles of technology foresight and regional key technology choice in China, and analyze the major concerns and influence of industry development. For mostly, the discussion in this article will give us a useful aid to our country on the planning and formulation of science and technolohy.