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Research On The Development Of Dairy Industry In China Based On Industrial Growth Period

Posted on:2009-04-20Degree:DoctorType:Dissertation
Country:ChinaCandidate:Y L LvFull Text:PDF
GTID:1119360275466171Subject:Forestry Economics and Management
Abstract/Summary:PDF Full Text Request
Dairy product is nutritious,and the World Health Organization regard the per capita consumption of dairy product as one of the key indicators,measuring a nation's living standard. The development of dairy industry is beneficial to improve people's diet structure,raise their overall level of health,optimize the structure of agriculture,increase peasant incomes,and promote the development of related industries.After years of development,Dairy industry in China has achieved rapid development,the per capita consumption of dairy product has increased year by year,industry concentration tended to increase,enterprise scale has expanded. In the mean time,there are still many problems as follow:the scale of dairy industry enterprise is small,the efficiency is low,and its level of industrialization and the competition of the industry is low.As a result,it is quite urgent that we develop related theoretical research concerning industry development in depth to guide practice,which ensures a continuous and healthy development of the dairy industry.This is the basic starting point of the thesis research.Based on how to improve the competition of the dairy industry,how to improve operational efficiency and performance of dairy enterprises,how to optimize the dairy market structure,this article studies on the following areas:(1)Through conducting a predicting analysis on the sales of the dairy products with the improved Bass model,ARIMA model and the GM model separately,it has been found that the Bass model is better than the other two in the aspects of the fitting and forecast accuracy.It can also dynamically reflect the real situation of the market of diary product.We have so concluded that the diary industry is still at the growth period which has set the foundation of the following chapters.(2)The paper has conducted a study on the characteristic of dairy industry,from dairy product supply and demand aspects.(3)From the analysis of dairy industry market structure and market performance,and constructing a regression model,we concluded that the relation between market structure and market performance is linear negative correlation and market structure decided market performance,which is significant to draw up the industry policy of dairy industry.(4)Making use of Gini coefficient and the specialization index,dairy industry concentration level of Chinese 31 provinces(municipalities) is measured.It shows that dairy industry clusters has formed in Mongolia,which promotes the development regional dairy industry.(5)Using theory about comparative advantage and competitive advantage,we analyze on the competition of Chinese dairy industry,which shows that Chinese dairy industry is in a relatively disadvantageous position using comparative advantage and trade specialization index. According to Porter's diamond system,the factors,affecting competitive advantage,is decomposed in level.Using AHP and fuzzy mathematics Construction,competitive advantage evaluation model of dairy industry is constructed.It is a conclusion that competitive advantage index of Chinese dairy industry is low and is less competitive.The paper obtains innovative results which have theoretical and practical value in the following four aspects:Firstly,based on the short cycle of dairy consumption,sales of high-frequency,the paper builds the market diffusion model based on the situation of initial purchase and re-purchase. The sales of Chinese dairy industry is forecasted and analyzed.It concludes that the driven factors of dairy products market come from external influence,and the life cycle of dairy industry is in growth period.Secondly,a market indicator of achievement evaluation system and a regression model for quantitative analysis are established.From operational results,it is known that linear relationship exists between market structure and performance of Chinese dairy industry.When the concentration of industries is between 10%-50%,profit rate do not increase with the rise of centralization,but the opposite will decline relatively,which is significant to draw up policy of Chinese dairy industry.Thirdly,using AHP,the constituent elements of competitive advantage is decomposed. Combining fuzzy math methods,the competitive advantage evaluation model and the methods are constituted,and the determining weighting factors are built.And we analyzed the industrial competition of Chinese dairy with Inner Mongolia dairy industry as an example.
Keywords/Search Tags:Dairy industry, Industrial Growth Period, Industrial Cluster, Industrial Competition
PDF Full Text Request
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