Econometric Analysis Of Farmer Choosing Land Use In Hilly Areas Of Sichuan Province

The issue of land use changing in hilly areas per se is a task with prominent of realism and practice significance. Improving degree of land consolidation is necessary in the progress of achieving nature,economy,society continuance development in hilly areas, especially in the realism condition of land lossing gravely,utilizing rate and productivity is very low. The third Plenum of the 17th Communist Party of China Central Committee approved a decision on major issues concerning rural reform and development at the close of a four-day plenum.The Plenum focused on the issue of rural land consolidation.Author chosed economic analysis to rural land changing in hilly areas of Sichuan province just basing on thinking of such practice imminence. Especially discussed feasibility and correlation effecting factors of rural land consolidation in hilly areas of Sichuan province.basing on reallocating the utilizing mode changing in the progress of use conversion leads to land reallocate on the market as a space resource. This point has important theoretic and practical Significance to industrial structure adjust and economic structure transform in rural hilly areas of Sichuan province. with the rising of economic in a rapidly speed in hilly areas of Sichuan province, The problem of land in country using in a low efficiency has given prominence to increasingly. In the basic situation of a country in raring of land resource and being short of resource in support,how to improve land consolidation degree has become more and more necessary. This dissertation outspread basing on so you saying background.Try to economics study by developing influencing of land use changing to land consolidation, explaining the internality mechanism of how the land use changing improve degree of land consolidation.Based on stabile theory and practice,through econometric analysis, This dissertation search after the driving factors of rural land changing in hilly areas of Sichuan province,Research that land profit and land character is how to influence rural land use adjusting and changing.and explain conversion probability between main land categories in rural hilly areas by data analysis. Through economic analysis to rural land use changing in hilly areas of Sichuan province.This dissertation realised and summarized the theory of land consolidation from a new theoretic angle.Because of thinking the issue of land use changing as a important aspect of improving land consolidation degree,Broke through the limit that inhere land consolidation degree only overwighted interior index advancing and tenement of land transition,so that realised the issue of land utilizing from a more extensive and realism significance comparative new angel. Dissertation researched and analysed the issue of land use changing through reviewing and discussing a series of theory including The theory of land rent,Dynamic optimization theory, Markovian decision process, Econometric analysis,etc. This dissertation is able to pursue expanded analysis as a result of refinements in the date and the introduction of a logit model through forming a Dynamic optimization decision-making model to a farmer facing many kinds of land use categories choices.My focus on the comprehensive set transition among land use categories,however raises a number of econometric changes and develop a logit speciation for the probability of transition from one land use category to another. extend the issue of land use changing to a extensive economic issue from a technology aspect. bound the changing of land use mode into a economic issue keeping changing with land profit and character under mutisystem condition. So that bring a economic rural land utilizing mode,improve land consolidation degree i.e. adjusting and saving space of land use.this has theoretic significance extending traditional theory of land economics.