Study On Life Cycle Management Theory And Method Of Clean Energy Generation Project

In China, clean-energy generation project was an important part of the energy industry, which played a significant role in sustainable development of energy balance and industry. Since the 1990's, with the gradual improvement of technological and economic strength, China's clean-energy generation projects developed rapidly and had earned remarkable achievement under the dual pressures of environmental protection and great energy demand from both domestic and overseas. However, when reviewing the achievements of clean-energy generation projects, summing up the experience in project construction, forecasting the future tasks, we should clearly understand the obvious gap of current clean-energy generation project construction, management and policy support between China and other developed countries. The future of clean-energy generation project management would be faced with severe challenges. Therefore, a comprehensive study of the advanced Life Cycle Management (LCM) theory, a totally throughout application in stage of planning decisions, design and construction, operation management, removal of scrap and so on had great meaning for our country's clean-energy generation projects.First, the thesis reviewed literature of power management theory, including LCM theory with its application status especially in power system at home and abroad, the existing power generation project investment decision theories and models, and Life Cycle Cost (LCC) theory, evaluation, post-evaluation, incentive mechanism design theory, and other management theories, which established the theoretical foundation for the thesis.Secondly, the thesis put forward a LCM theoretical framework for clean-energy generation project based on above literature review. Aiming at the six stages of project life cycle, the paper brought forward the focus of the each stage, the purpose, principle, overall framework of theoretical development, and the organizational structure to guarantee the smooth implementation of the theory. Then the article introduced generation cost components, mathematical model based on the LCC of clean-energy generation project, emphatically analyzed the concept, content and formula of the environmental cost of power generation enterprise. Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) method was used in analysis and evaluation of LCC of four generation models, illustrating the LCC analysis on the advantages of clean-energy development. Some preliminary policy recommendations for LCM in the clean-energy generation projects application were also given in the thesis. Thirdly, based on behavioral economics view, the article researched on the different risk preference of the investor, modified the limitation of the changeless discounting rate in the option-game theory, and constructed a model of generation investment decision-making based on different risk preference and option-game theory. The Matlab simulation analysis was carried out to validate the science and rationality of investment decisions. In addition, on the basis of whole LCC and real option theory, the traditional LCC estimation model was modified. A dynamic, open clean-energy generation project LCC cost model for investment decisions was constructed in consideration of real options theory and environmental cost.Finally, the costing theory, evaluation and post-evaluation systems including correctness of the project establishment decision-making of the clean-energy generation project based on LCM were presented in detail and specific case studies are given.In conditions of scarce fossil fuels, to meet the rapid development of a future energy supply needs and to face the global sustainable development, China was now undergoing a large number of power industry structure adjustments, which aimed to build a diversified-develop clean-energy system as quickly as possible. The research of this thesis had great significance in theory and practice for the management of clean-energy generation project.