China’s Carbon Emissions And Emission Reduction Performance Research Of Economic Growth Perspective

Since the Industrial Revolution, the carbon emissions produced by humaneconomic activity increasing, the greenhouse effect leading to a significant change inthe global climate, the frequency of extreme natural disasters has greatly improved thesurvival of mankind natural ecosystems and socio-economic systems are brought non-predict risk Thus, the international community within the UN framework, inaccordance with the "common but differentiated responsibilities" principle reached ajoint emissions reduction agreement. China is the world’s largest developing country,and has become the superpower of carbon emissions, is currently facing a steadyeconomic growth, improve the quality of economic development and the incrementalcarbon emissions control multiple pressures and challenges. Therefore, the system ofChinese carbon emissions and economic coordination development issues, all havevery important significance in theory and practice.In this paper, the perspective of economic growth, China’s carbon emissions andperformance issues such as the in-depth study. Firstly, LMDI index decompositionmethod, a detailed study of the cumulative contribution of China since the reform andopening up and driving the evolution of carbon emission factors. The results showthat the evolution of China’s overall carbon emissions has experienced rapid, steadyand rapid growth in three stages, the most important drivers of economic developmentforward, the main driving factor is the reduction of energy intensity, and coal-basedenergy consumption structure is the main reason for the high incremental carbonemissions. Characteristics of Chinese carbon emissions evolved with the unbalanceddevelopment, the timing of the cumulative emissions gradually decreasing from east to west, industrial carbon emissions account for over80%of the country’s totalemissions. The cumulative contribution of each driving factor in inter-regional, thereare significant differences between the industry, and economic development andenergy intensity in both directions is still the main driving factor in both positive andnegative.Secondly, based on the theory of economic growth, combing through modelingthe growth of carbon emissions gave birth to a theoretical study of the mechanism,emphasis on the effect of industrial structure upgrading and restructuring the energypath of steady economic growth, and based on simulated historical data to predict thefuture development path of China. The results show that as long as the technicalprogress and human capital development to break through the bottleneck of energyconstraints, economic growth is sustainable in the long term. Steady economic growthpath boundary conditions for the convergence of human capital accumulation rate isgreater than the maximum rate of time preference, consumption intertemporalelasticity of substitution is less than1, the environment is sufficiently large carbonsequestration rates, productivity and preferences change has a significant effect on thesteady-state rate of economic growth, optimization and upgrading of industrialstructure and energy structure has obvious effects of economic growth and energysaving effect. Simulation and prediction analysis found that China’s future growthpath of the economy along with declining energy intensity becomes gentle, carbonemission paths under different scenarios showed an inverted U-shaped curve in thetrack and peaked around2035, the carbon intensity under different scenarios to2020On average than in2005when the decrease more than40%-45%. Therefore, thecarbon intensity reduction targets China promised more suitable for special processescurrently upgrading of industrial structure and energy structure adjustment, to avoid amore substantial fluctuations in the economy that may arise.Finally, the use of environment-based distance function DEA models, empiricalstudies of the various industries in China, carbon emissions performance of each region, and the emission reduction targets of the inter-industry, simulated distributionregions. The empirical results display industry, there are significant differencesbetween carbon reduction performance of Chinese industry, the high performance andhigh-tech industries are mainly light industry, achieved with a relatively smallproportion of yield and reduction of space, and heavy chemical industry’s carbonemissions performance is generally low, should assume more responsibility foremissions reductions. Provincial empirical results show that the performance ofChinese provinces carbon emissions presented from west to east, from north to southand gradually improve the characteristics of non-equilibrium, low carbon intensityreduction larger space efficient provinces, according to the principle of efficiencyshould assume more intensity reduction targets. In the two-stage analog controlChina’s total carbon emissions targets to optimize the distribution of the first stagebased on the principle of equitable distribution of per capita carbon emissions13provinces account deficit, allocated based on the carbon intensity of the second phaseof the relative efficiency of the principle of giving priority Opening accumulatedaccount balance provinces as there are a large number of surplus.In summary, this study reveals both carbon emissions and economic growth inthe long term evolution mechanism, while the evaluation of the performance ofcarbon emissions in the short term. Therefore, the conclusion can be drawn based onthis study important policy implications of carbon emissions and promote thecoordinated development of economic growth: first reduction stage of economicdevelopment policy should adapt; second is to accelerate industrial upgrading andrestructuring of energy; Third, through the integration of existing tax structure carbontax; fourth is to try to speed up the establishment of a carbon emissions trading marketthrough first.