Adaptability Evaluation Of Urban Traffic Demand Mangement

Urban traffic jam is a common problem facing urban cities throughout the world, which is mostly due to the imbalance between transportation demand and supply. Taking an overview of transportation demand management experience both home and abroad, this problem can not be solved by means of increasing investment, speeding up the construction of transportation infrastructure and so forth only. If we want to solve the problem thoroughly, we must not only adjust traffic demand and strengthen the traffic infrastructure but also adopt some both reasonable and effective traffic demand management methods to refrain at the same time so that traffic system can develop in a direction of balanced supply and demand, which can truly be considered as an effective way to solve problem of traffic jam.Though a comprehensive comment of traffic demand management tactics attracts great attention of those scholars both home and abroad, such comment confines single traffic demand tactic or traffic improvement. Because much aspects and factors are included in carrying out of traffic demand management, we have to make an analysis of factors that influencing urban traffic demand management adaptability, forecast the effect of these factors on TDM enforcement, and make an assessment of TDM adaptability. With such analysis and assessment, the feasibility of TDM tactics, we could make some necessary improvement of its defects, which can be a necessary tool and effective way to enforce TDM tactics.With the background information mentioned above, the present thesis aims to establish a systematic, applicable model for the analysis of urban transportation demand management tactics, means of evaluation and model systems, which will later be applied to for plan making and evaluation about some typical regions’transportation demand management, hoping to driving a further study and application of transportation demand management tactics in China, as well as promoting a sustainable and healthy development do urban transportation system. To sum up, the following few issues are the main tasks the present thesis aims to accomplish:A systematic study has been made on the transportation demand management Game theory between transportation demand management institutions and those participants, obtaining that the optimal countermeasures and ways of payment. Meanwhile, the potential underlying problems of Game model is analyzed as well, with some basic measures proposed for the improvement of urban transportation demand management in China.A system-Dynamic based equation about transportation demand management is set up correspondingly, aiming to study the simulated range of interactive system between those different factors and transportation demand management respectively. Furthermore, the author also makes systematic simulations with the considerations of different investment increased in the future, and gets its consequent development tendency and regularity for transportation demand management.Taking an account of the connotation of transportation demand management’s adaptability, the authors makes a study of the evaluation theory, evaluation method and evaluation model for transportation demand management and urban transportation, as well as the economic development. With this evaluation, together with the SWOT analysis, some tactics and suggestions are proposed to improve the adaptability of transportation demand management.