| China is the largest country in production and consumption of waterfowl, the prospect of waterfowl industry market is very broad.At present,waterfowl production is all over the country provinces, autonomous regions and municipalities directly under the central government.Industrial layout is scattered, the difference about scal is very big, take on a multiple and weak trend,expanded as scattered, no regularity in disorder,which will be conducive to the sustainable development of ecological environment,lead to low levels, thin profits, small-scale repeat expansion.Beneath the rationalisation of waterfowl industry, influence the development of the whole waterfowl industry.This article through to the research to the layout optimization and development of waterfowl industry in China, we can grasp of the fundamental problem of waterfowl industrial layout and the development more comprehensively and systematicly and how to plan waterfowl industry and how to successfully implement the relevant industrial policy.Conducive to guide a rational, healthy and orderly development of local industry,save raw materials and product transportation costs, energy dissipation and logistics management costs,realize the waterfowl industry in low carbon economy, strengthen regional natural environment protection, ensure the safety of waterfowl product quality,make government carry on the macroeconomic regulation and control and strengthen food safety monitoring and provide the theory basis for the implementation of the security policy, easily grasp the waterfowl industry market information and provide reference to make market decisions.In addition to provide jobs, increase farmers’ income, which can improve people’s diet structure, rich food culture life play a huge role.So, the paper based on the industrial location theory, industrial layout and development theory, environmental ecology theory, made some qualitative and quantitative analysis, made detailed answer about the layout of waterfowl industry in China and the development present situation, historical evolution, and answered the impacts between the layout of industrial and national regional competitiveness, market volatility, social, economic and natural environmental protection, made he scientific measurement prediction, planned the formation of the layout,analyzed the influence factors and the correlation.Finally the article putted forward the country’s overall strategy and itemized strategy about the waterfowl industry layout and development,and how to carry out detailed policy Suggestions. Specific as follows:First of all, using the method of literature review, inductive analysis and comparative analysis, the article makes analysis on the characteristics and problemsof waterfowl industry layout and development in China. The evolution of waterfowl industry in China can be divided into four periods:First is the founding of new China to1978, the weak growth time under the background of planned economy; second is during the time of1979-1989, the accumulation and rapid development time under the background of reform and opening up; Third is during the time of1990-2005,agricultural industrialization time under the background of rapid development; Fourth is the steady growth and volatility time under the background of avian flu since2006.Secondly, using the method of principal component analysis, VAR model, granger test and effect, impulse response and variance analysis,From three Angle:the industry competitiveness, market volatility, environmental protection, the article makes a analysis of the current industrial structure to the waterfowl industry development. Results show that:under the existing industrial structure, regional competitiveness in polarization waterfowl industry and is more and more focused on regional circle trend; Waterfowl industry in regional development is not balanced, differences is bigger in regional competitiveness; regional competitiveness overall level is not high; industry support ability is stronger.In terms of market volatility, the waterfowl market price volatility is affected by waterfowl, waterfowl such amount, GDP, chicken, pork price price, the price of corn, the influence of factors such as market interest rates, and the influence of degree and direction is different; Waterfowl industry is weaker relatively pork, chicken and other poultry livestock industry, needs the government to give more preferential protection. Under the existing industrial structure, waterfowl overall pollution status is poorer, the farmers are lack of consciousness, ecological production environment pollution prevention consciousness is weak, varying waterfowl production area of waterfowl environmental protection requirements are different, different waterfowl production areas of production mode to environmental effects is different.Moreover, the article does the depth prediction about flesh duck, pathogenies, goose, advocates econometric analysis in detail using the method of comprehensive prediction.The results show that:from the nationwide, to meat-duck,future market will be decreased, the damping is about3%, price in the short term will increase slightly, farming enterprises, farmers will be more careful to avoid risk, amount of the future market will fall further, about1.4%is expected. To geese,the scale will have a substantial increase compared with the2013, goose meat prices also have bigger growth. To egg-meat,H7N9in2013will cause a delay of pathogenies add column for two months and lead to the fall in future market, but Cun Lan Liang compared to2013will be improved, in the next pathogenies egg production will be relatively stable. To waterfowl overall-waterfowl industry development is more stable in our country, the scale keeps near12million tons. From regional scale, on the one hand, the southern region is stronger, the southern waterfowl main production has13provinces (city) area, the market share is nearly54%, 2.12times of the north output of meat and eggs,the north accounted for nearly46%market share, produce about3.95million tons of products.On the other hand,based on the regional economic type,waterfowl waterfowl industry market share according to the pecking order is bohai sea area, the pearl river delta, Yangtze river delta region, the northeast region, west river delta; According to the unit of production scale, respectively, in turn, is the Yangtze river delta, the pearl river delta, bohai sea region, northeast region, west triangle.Moreover, on the one hand, the article analyzes the regional comprehensive competitiveness level of waterfowl industry using pea, determine the overall strength of the waterfowl, which can be divided into five areas:the pearl river delta area including guang dong, fu jian, hai nan, jiang xi, hu nan, guang xi region, Yangtze river delta area including Shanghai, zhe jiang, jiang su, an hui, hu bei, bo hai sea region including Beijing, shan dong, Inner Mongolia, liao ning, he bei, he nan, including hei long jiang, ji lin, liao ning, northeast China west triangle area including chong qing, si chuan province and northwest which market has emerged.On the other hand, the article analyzed the pecialization level in detail of meat-duck,egg-duck, goose, putting forward the core of waterfowl industry layout industrial circle and the regional distribution type.To meat-duck,formating (shan dong, guang dong, jiang su) three core business circle with (high location quotient, high market share)class A region (jiang su, shan dong, guang dong, guang xi),(High location quotient, low market share) class B (hai nan,chong qing, Beijing),(low location quotient, high market share) class C (si chuan, hu nan, he nan, liao ning),(low location quotient and low market share)class D (the rest areas);To goose,formating (guang dong, liao ning, jiang su)three core industrial circle and The four regional types:the area A(guang dong, jiang su, liao ning, hei long jiang), B (Shanghai, jiang xi, shan dong, hai nan, chong qing), C (si chuan, hu nan, ji lin), D (the rest); to egg-duck, formating (hu bei and hu nan and zhe jiang fu jian)two core business circle and and The four regional types:the area A (zhe jiang, fu jian, hu bei, hu nan), B (Shang hai, chong qing),C (si chuan, an hui), D (the rest).Then, from the angles of comprehensive competitiveness, location quotient, market share by spearman empirical analysis, the article makes a analysis of the regional specialization level difference and its influence factors of distribution of waterfowl industry, and prove the key factors of waterfowl industry layout and correlation factors and the related degree influencing the specialization level difference.The results showed that:the comprehensive competitiveness has a positive correlation with regional water resource conditions, economic development level, the industrial scale, the investment in science and technology, and the industrialization level a, the competitive level has a bigger correlation with investment in science and technology, dustrialization level; the location quotient, market share of meat-duck, goose, egg-duck have a positive correlation with water resources, the level of GDP, the industrial scale, investment in science and technology,, the egg-duck is more dependent on the water resources conditions.The location quotient and market share of the goose has a bigger correlation with GDP and investment in science and technology, The location quotient and market share of the meat-duck, goose, egg-duck have a bigger correlation with industrialization level.Finally, the paper puts forward the overall layout of waterfowl industry in China,which should follow the five economic circle distribution strategy, mainly around the pearl river delta, Yangtze river delta, bohai sea, northeast, west triangle economic circle to plan the national waterfowl layout. In addition, on the basis of the overall strategies, the tactics subdivided into three major categories of waterfowl industry in China, are the "three times"and"four types " strategy of meat-duck,"three circle" and "four types "strategy of goose,"two ring"and"four types " strategy of egg-duck.During the development of waterfowl industry, in addition to strengthen their core business circle system development, also should strengthen the support of class B and class C area, make it to the senior regional transformation, as well as the taking on development strategies for implementation of selective class D area, cultivating characteristic competitiveness, to enhance the overall level of waterfowl industry.The study put forward:rational for the country’s industry layout, avoiding low, inefficient repetitive construction; highlighting the characteristics of regional advantages, industry layout, adjusting measures to local conditions, using the advantages of industrialization development, and paying attention to environmental protection and sustainable development; Formulating industry standards and norms, rules; To strengthen the market monitoring of relevant alternatives to trade, establishing a flexible market reaction system; Guiding the industry development of technological progress and updating, promoting the competitiveness of the technology; Advocating People-oriented, actively cultivating the waterfowl industry personnel and strengthening the personnel flow mechanism; to improve the mechanism of regional cooperation, learning, and mechanisms of promotion and the popularization of advanced technology and so on.For breakdown strategy, the raticle respectively from Eight aspects:training according to the specific industry growth pole, and strengthen science and technology investment, promote the industrialization, the reasonable adjustment of industry scale and the development and speed up the extension of industry chain and actively cultivate its own characteristics of the competitive advantage and strengthen regional cooperation, propose policy Suggestions,... |
PDF Full Text Request