Support And Security Research Of Henan Province Important Mineral Resources Under The Background Of Central Plains Economic Region

The geographical range of Central Plains Economic Zone covers Henan, Shandong, Anhui, Hebei, and Shanxi, including30cities and3counties. Its economic aggregate is only secondary to Yangtze River Delta, Pearl River Delta, and Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region. In terms of strategic positioning, the economic zone will be built into China’s demonstration area with harmonious development of industrialization, urbanization, informatization, and agricultural modernization. Such function positioning undoubtedly needs powerful natural mineral resources guarantee and support. In aspect of internal structure of the economic zone, Henan Province accounts for over60%in terms of area, population, and economic scale. Currently Henan has entered the middle period of industrialization, which is the stage of rapid industrialization. The fast economic growth correspondingly causes large consumption of Henan energies and mineral resources. Then, what are the status of Henan’s economic development and mineral resources? How to guarantee Henan’s economic development under the construction of Central Plains Economic Region(CPER)? These are the problems to be solved during Henan’s economic and social development and in mineral resource industry. In the future, if the mineral resources are in shortage during the construction of Central Plains Economic Region(CPER), the blueprint of economic zone would be castle in the air, and the precious opportunity would be lost. Therefore, it has realistic significance and analysis value to select important Henan mineral resource support and security as research subject under the construction of Central Plains Economic Region(CPER), and discuss how to scientifically formulate mineral resource guarantee policy strategy to promote the construction of Central Plains Economic Region(CPER) in light of Henan’s economic and resource advantages.In combination with the realistic background of construction of Central Plains Economic Region(CPER) and on the basis of relevant theories of economic zone and mineral resource guarantee, the paper analyzes the situations of Henan’s economic development and mineral resource supply and demand, predicts Henan’s demands of important mineral resources in future 10-15years, appraises Henan’s mineral resource bearing capacity and guarantee capability, and puts forward Henan mineral resource guarantee strategies to promote Central Plains Economic Region(CPER). The research achievement can provide references for relevant departments and mineral enterprises to make decisions.The paper consists of seven parts, including introduction and research conclusion. The research work and basic conclusion are shown as follows:1. The paper introduces relevant theories of economic zone and mineral resource support security, and expounds the theory relationships of economic zone, mineral, regional economy, sustainable development and relevant mineral resource strategy. Economic zone refers to the regional space in which economic activities are relatively independent, and internal economy is closely connected. The space shall have special functions and clear boundary, with systematic, functional, radioactive and dynamic characteristics, etc. Central Plains Economic Region(CPER) uses harmonious development of industrialization, urbanization, informatization, and agricultural modernization as functional positioning, which inevitably promotes Henan’s industrialization and urbanization and consumes large amounts of energy, steel, cement, etc. Natural resources such as minerals not always bring good news to regional economic development; instead, natural resources even may bring curse. However, once we know the three concepts-the abundance of mineral resources, development intensity of mineral resource, and dependence degree of mineral resources, we will find out that mineral resources play a crucial role in guaranteeing regional economic development. The developing countries face more adjustments when realizing sustainable development of mineral resources. Therefore, the mineral department needs to adapt to and create a new operation method, which needs common efforts of government, surrounding organizations and civil social groups. The basic task of strategic management of mineral resource is to establish safe, effective, and reasonable mineral resource supply system and consumption mode which coordinate with social economic development.2. The paper analyzes the status quo of supply and demand of Henan economic development and mineral resource, so as to make clear levels of "industrialization, urbanization, and agricultural modernization" of Henan’s economic development, mineral resources supply and demand, and mineral resource consumption, etc. Since1998, Henan’s urbanization has developed rapidly and industrial level has increased steadily, but comprehensive indexes of agricultural modernization have fluctuated greatly; even in some years, the indexes decreased. The analysis on the co-integration relationship of the three factors shows that in short term, the improvement of industrialization level promotes the urbanization level, but agricultural modernization brings about retarding effect to urbanization. The positive impact from agricultural modernization to urbanization and positive impact from urbanization to industrialization are small and not sustainable. However, compared with agricultural modernization, the industrialization plays a more important role in urbanization. Henan is a large province of mineral resources, with the coexistence of advantageous mineral resources and disadvantageous mineral resources featuring constructional shortage. The coal, petroleum, electricity, non-ferrous metals, metallurgy, building material, chemical industry, etc. have become pillar industries of the province. In the future, Henan’s production capacity and potential of main mineral resources are still large, but mineral exploration needs to be further guaranteed. With the progress of industrialization and urbanization, Henan’s mineral resource consumption always keeps increasing and will continue to increase according to prediction in the future.3. The paper predicts the change tendency of Henan’s demand and supply of main mineral resources in future10-15years. The core of Central Plains Economic Zone is coordination of "industrialization, urbanization, and agricultural modernization", which inevitably consumes large amount of mineral resources. Under the background, the main influential factors of Henan’s mineral consumption demand shall include GDP, industrial structure, urbanization level, population size, and technical progress, etc. In combination with these main influential factors, establish SVR Model based on MATLAB technology to get the analog and simulation prediction of Henan’s demands of important minerals in2013-2030. The result shows that under the condition of reasonably settings, in the future10-20years, Henan’s consumption demands of coal, petroleum, natural gas, etc. will feature an inverse U-shape curve and form peaks at different time. Thereinto, the peak point of coal is2018and peak points of petroleum and natural gas are2024.4. The paper appraises Henan’s bearing capacity of mineral resources. After reviewing the appraisal method and model of bearing capacity of mineral resources, select influential factors and establish index system to predict the mineral reserves, resource reserves, and current resource’s economic bearing capacity of coal, iron mine, aluminum ore, molybdenum ore, and gold ore, etc. Besides, it analyzes and predicts the potential economic bearing capacity of current resource amount in2020. The result shows that compared with the pace and speed of Henan industrial development, the bearing capacity of Henan’s main mineral resources are in shortage. The coal resource is the main resource which contributes to the improvement of Henan’s GNP. Although Henan is rich in molybdenum ore, gold ore, and aluminum ore, but due to restrictions of exploitation technologies and waste, the economic utilization coefficient of the three minerals is low and their bearing capacities are negative values.5. The paper puts forward support and security for Henan mineral resources, which promote the construction of Central Plains Economic Region(CPER). Like any regional development, the construction of Central Plains Economic Zone must have solid mineral resources as backup forces. On the basis of considering Henan’s economic development, mineral resource supply and demand, change tendency of demand of main mineral resources in future10-15years, and bearing capacity of mineral resources, in the nature, support and security of Henan vital mineral resources shall, under the background of Central Plains Economic Region(CPER), emphasize on mineral resource exploration, resource saving and intensive use, resource substitution and new energy, and mineral enterprises "going out", so as to establish mineral resource guarantee system to guarantee construction of economic zone. The innovations of the paper are summed up in the following two aspects:(1) New conception of research perspective. Currently, relevant researches mainly discuss the relationship between mineral resource consumption and regional economic development, or pay attention to the industrial development and transformation of resource area. However, the researches seldom deeply analyze the resource guarantee problems during construction of economic zone. In contrast, the paper, in light of resource demand of economic zone construction and in combination with Henan’s practical cases, mainly analyzes Henan’s mineral resource guarantee strategies during the construction of Central Plains Economic Zone. Therefore, the research perspective is innovative to certain degree.(2) Innovation of research idea and framework. The research, on the basis of scientifically analyzing Henan economic development and mineral resource demand, appraises the mineral resource supporting capacity provided by Henan. On the basis, it puts forward support and security for Henan mineral resources, which promote the construction of Central Plains Economic Zone. In comparison, the research framework and idea are innovative to certain degree.Certainly, restricted by the completeness of data and information, the research only selects several representative minerals to predict mineral resource demand and appraise supply capability. In the future, we will accumulate data and predict the demand and appraise the supply capability of other minerals.