Studies On The Urban Living Willingness Of The Floating Population In Guangdong Province

China is a populous country,and the continuously released demographic dividend is an important factor of China's sustained and rapid economic growth.China's "Pearl River Delta" has been appeared recruitment difficulties,and the common laborer's wage has been increasing rapidly,which contrary to theoretical conclusions of unlimited supply of labor under the Dual Economic Structure.Cai Fang(2005,2012,2013,2015,2016)has continuous written that China has already ushered in the "Lewis turning point",and the demographic dividend is gradually disappearing.Although there are a lot of different academic opinions,and conclusions on the situation of the demographic dividend has not reached an agreement yet,there are many issues,such as China's economy growth continues to decline in the new era,the Chinese economy has entered a "new normal",the inference that China's future economic growth is the“L” type,rather than a “U” or “V” type,the issue of China's economic growth which is the focus of attention of politicians,academics and the general public,and full liberalization of the “two-child” policy in recent years which leads to the concern about that China is walking into the social of the “old before getting rich”,above all these issues makes the population problem becomes a penetration point of the study of Chinese economy.In fact,an important mechanism to achieve our demographic dividend is migration,namely population flow from rural to urban,from the underdeveloped areas to developed areas,which is also the main reason that found by Knight and other scholars found led China's remarkable economic performance.Admittedly,currently,significant changes are happening in China's population structure and growth trends,and the properties and structure of the floating population is also showing new features.Guangdong Province,as China's economic province,large population province,and populous major destinations of floating population,occupies an important position in China's regional economic landscape.Therefore,this paper regards Guangdong Province as the subject of the study,focusing on the integration of floating populationin Guangdong Province.This topic is meaningful.This paper bases on the research results and relevant information from the domestic and abroad,studying the state and typical characteristics of Guangdong Province,the relevance between floating population and regional economic development in Guangdong Province,and the living willingness of the floating population in Guangdong Province,by utilizing the data in the sixth national census of Guangdong Province,the Guangdong Provincial Statistical Yearbook,2015 National Planning Commission Guardian floating population dynamic monitoring data.Thesis consists seven chapters.The first chapter is the introduction,which contains the background and significance of the topic,and literature review focuses on three aspects:demographic dividends,the economic effects of floating population,and urban integration of migrants,which includes the main contents of the paper,the main research methods and innovations.The second chapter is the definition of the concept and relevant basic theory.This chapter includes the definition of migrants,migrant workers,the new generation of migrant workers,social integration,etc.,and the elaborated analysis for Lewis dual economy theory,Core and Periphery Theory from the New Economic Geography,population migration and integration theory.The third chapter is the status of the floating population and stylized features in Guangdong Province.Through the data in the 2010 national census of Guangdong Province and the Guangdong Provincial Statistical Yearbook,this chapter analyzed the state and typical characteristics of Guangdong Province.By analyzing the size of floating population,gender ratio,urban and rural household registration,and nation,as well as the quantitative relation analysis of inter-provincial migrants,the floating population within the province,the floating population within the city,household population of Guangdong Province,the number of the resident population,out of the provinces population relationship analysis,it is found that the economic development of Guangdong Province has attracted a large foreign population,so that the size of the resident population has already over 100 million people in Guangdong Province,which is the largest all over China,but a large disparity exists between the Guangdong Province in the Pearl River Delta and the eastern,western,northern Guangdong mountains,which resulted in nearly 90% of the floating population concentrated inGuangzhou,Shenzhen,Dongguan,Foshan and other places in the Pearl River Delta,,and the geographical distribution of migrants is extremely imbalance.Calculating the correlation coefficient of GDP,economic growth and the size of floating population among cities in Guangdong Province,it is found that the level of economic development determines the number of floating population,and a prefecture-level city with fast economic growth has more household registration population who moved into and less out.To study the typical characteristics of the floating population in Guangdong Province,this paper analyzed the human capital of floating population,including gender ratio,age structure and education structure.It is found that the age structure of the floating population in Guangdong Province is obviously inverted V-shaped,the largest group is the 20-24 age group,and the floating population dependency ratio is only 9.71%,and male migrants is the main population in Guangdong Province,and education level of migrants is high.It is expected that with improvement of the education level of floating population,the human capital of Guangdong Province floating population will be enhance and bring more demographic dividends.Analyzing the quantity and gender ratio of the floating population from different provinces and municipalities in China,it is found that the household registration of the floating population in Guangdong Province is mainly in Hunan,Guangxi,Sichuan and Hubei provinces,and less from the developed regions like Beijing and Shanghai,and the quantity of male is far larger than female,however,the female from the three northeast provinces is relatively high.Chapter four to six is the empirical study of the urban migrants' willing of residence in Guangdong Province.From individual different perspectives of gender,ethnicity,marital status,household registration,age,and education level,by using the data of 2015 National Population dynamic flow monitoring,to analyze the living willingness of floating population of the full sample population,inter-provincial migrants,the floating population within the province,the will of 90 s.It is found that different categorical variables take on different influence on the living willingness of floating population,such as non-agricultural floating population have the strongest residence will,and "college and above" highly educated population,older and marriedpartial floating population have a stronger urban residence will,and 90 s floating population have the weakest average urban residence will.Under certain conditions of classification,the urban residence willingness between inter-provincial migrants and inner-provincial migrants shows a great difference,even taking the inner-provincial migrants' definitely stronger living willingness than the inter-provincial migrants into account,such as the level of education has a gentle effect on the inner-provincial migrants,the most educated population is not the group who has the strongest living willingness,but the living willingness of the inter-provincial migrants enhancing with the level of education,and higher education group has obvious strong living willingness;and the floating population post 90 s affects by unique characteristics of intergenerational,which also showed new features of living willingness,such as tending to the blur option "not sure yet",no matter which classification,post 90 s the group's choose the option "not sure yet " at around 50%,in which sex,nationality,household registration,education level of the 90 s floating population have little influence.On the basis of factors qualitative study of demographic,economic,social,etc.,after collating of the various issues in the questionnaire,this paper innovative determined the explanatory variables that portray economy factors and social factors,by data extracting,category merging and quantitative indicators processing,and the new index calculating.In terms of different research questions and different data samples,according to the theory of measurement requires,this paper selected ordinal logistic regression model,Multinomial logistic regression model and binary logistic regression model to empirical analysis and found out that demographic variables,economic variables and social variables have a significant effect on the living willingness of the floating population in Guangdong Province,as in employment of the floating population,income,life support capabilities all have a significant positive effect,"professional,technical and clerical staff" or "business services officer" with a relatively high society status has a stronger living willingness,which is higher 40%than the "agricultural and industrial workers”,and employers and "urban workers medical insurance" will significantly improve the living willingness.There are some differences between different floating population groups,such as marriage,medical insurance and other variables,which have a very important effectfor the city living willingness of the inter-provincial floating population,have no significant effect on the floating population immigrates within a province;there are still many different factors and effects that have influence on the proportion of"planning to" to "not going to happen" and "not sure yet" to "not going to happen;and although the nature of the hukou and medical insurance did not significantly affect the living willingness of the post 90 s floating population,the income and expenditure ratio,occupation status,employment status and other social and economic factors can still significantly affect living willingness of the post 90 s floating population,and if regarding married,college educated,employer identity as happy life Winner group and"tall" group in the post 90 s floating population,then this part of the post 90 s has a very strong living willingness,which provides a beneficial enlightenment for managing the floating population,promoting the integration of floating population into the cities,speeding up the urbanization process of the new generation of migrant workers,and promoting institutional reform.The last chapter is the seventh chapter,the conclusion and the policy suggestion.Based on the conclusion of this paper and the relevant national regulations and policies and the actual situation in Guangdong province,this paper puts forward the countermeasures and suggestions for the service and management of the floating population in Guangdong Province.