| Poverty has always been one of the most difficult problems to be solved in the development of China's economic.In addition to achieve the ambitious goal of the Central Communist Party that to build a well-off society in year 2020,in the past few years,central and local governments have made and implemented various policies and regulations in order to finally solve the poverty problem in an all-round way.Although most of them have achieved good results,with the further deepening of the economical reforms,the work has entered the final and key stage,to completely eradicate the.In view of the current situation,in fact the poverty problem is not difficult to solve,however,the difficulty is to first locate where is the rest of poverty,that is,to find the right direction in the current stage of precision poverty alleviation.Reviewing the various poverty alleviation policies that have been implemented in history,these can reduce the poverty problem in a certain extent,but as time goes by,these macro policies can not favor the prverty issues which are more special and regional.the efficiency of their implementation has also become lower,and the marginal benefits brought by them are becoming less obvious.In light of these various poverty alleviation models and policies,the central government,under the current situation,is more eager to find some innovational poverty alleviation mode,to grasp the key contradictions,eventually and thoroughly eliminate the obstacles of poverty alleviation,and to achieve socialism welloff comprehensively.By analyzing the current situation of poverty in China,actual needs and pain points of current poverty alleviation,this paper innovatively proposes a new poverty alleviation model – Non-disaster Economic Development Model,that it is after analyzing the current natural disaster reconstruction model which is widely used in China.And try to use this model to solve the main contradictions in China's current precise poverty alleviation stage.The basic implication of the non-disaster economic development model proposed in this paper is that in addition to natural disasters,there are also some socio-economic problems in the economic society.And in fact,these problems would like natural disasters,can lead significante issues to social economic development,such as poverty,we named these social economic problems as “social disasters”.As a starting point,this article takes disaster economics from beginning and extends the definitions of disasters from natural disasters to social disasters.Therefore,to draw a clear distinction from from what we usually call natural disasters,we define the poverty,the social disaster,as “Non-disaster”.And,we defined this devleopment mode which is used for solving this disaster as “Non-disaster Economic Development model.” Furthermore,we firstly select poverty-stricken areas that meet certain conditions due to non-natural disasters as research objects.That is to say,the "non-disaster economic development zone" will be constructed in a virtual "reintegration" mode after it is reasonably defined equivalent to the natural disaster.The concept of the non-disaster economic development model is to take the "social disaster" category as the “natural disaster”,to use “Reconstruction Mode” that to solve the social and economic problems.This model is governmentoriented to deal with the social disaster of “poverty”,and trying from the national level to promote the economic development in poverty-stricken areas.It is also different from disaster economics,although there are some similarities between each other,but there are more certain differences.The most important difference is the object of research of non-disaster is the social disasters,and disaster economics is the study of the tangible natural disasters.According to the above,this paper is mainly carried out by four major researches,background of the research,theory of the research,accurate quantitative analysis of the research,prospects and conclusions of the research.(1)Research background: Before starting to study the development model of nondisaster economic development,this paper gives a detailed description of the background,purpose and significance of the research in the first section of the first chapter.Stated as behind: in the conent of following: President.Xi's “four comprehensive” and poverty alleviation goals;precise poverty alleviation;the decision of the central poverty alleviation development work conference;the 13 th FiveYear Plan,and industry-backed agriculture;these constitute to this non-disruptive innovation research.Under these conditions,the development of non-disaster economic development model is not only an attempt to apply economic knowledge to practice,but also proposes an innovative model in the goal of precision poverty alleviation.After this,in the second,third and fourth sections of the first chapter,the research objectives,research significance,research methods,research content and technical analysis directions of the research are respectively summarized.On the research goal,the precise positioning of the non-disaster economic development zone will be used to reconstruct and to test the effect,finally to achieve the target of comprehensive poverty alleviation.In terms of research methods,content and directions,these have been applied in a variety of ways including literature research,qualitative/quantitative analysis,typical cases and comparative analysis,comprehensive theoretical research and empirical quantitative analysis,resulting in different provinces,especially in the middel and west regions,the non-disaster economic development model will eventually solve the poverty problem and promote the development of local social and economic.(2)Theoretical research: This article provides theoretical support for the research in the second,third and fourth chapters.The second chapter provides a theoretical basis for the non-disaster economic development model and as well as for the selection of non-disaster economic development zones.This chapter points out that the non-disaster economic theory derived from disaster economics which is a kind of expansion and application of disaster economics through dialectical thinking on nature disasters,so as to give economic and social attributes a new definition that relative to natural disasters.Reconstruction that after nature disasters is applied to the work of precision poverty alleviation.This chapter also constructs the theoretical support of the research,including: the theory of industrial cluster effect with a long history of development,the theory of modern rural development that provides theoretical support for rural development,the theory of urbanization,the theory of short-board and the theory of late-comer advantage.At the same time,the theoretical basis of the location of nondisaster economic development zones is expounded: generalized gradient theory and aggregate economic theory.The third chapter introduces the domestic and international research and evaluation of poverty and economic growth issues.Based on this,this paper proposes the theory of non-disaster economic development model by referring to the research methods of nature disaster economics.The fourth chapter mainly defines the non-disaster economic and non-disaster economic development models in detail,analyzes the differences and connections with other concepts,their implements strategies and effectiveness.(3)Empirical quantitative analysis: The fifth,sixth and seventh chapters of this paper provide empirical quantitative analysis of the research.The fifth chapter is a quantitative analysis of the impact of reconstruction after Wenchuan earthquake on the economic growth of the affected areas in Sichuan Province.Through the data research on the main disaster-stricken areas in Sichuan Province from 2003 to 2017,the dummy variables were added,and the multi-regression model of panel data was constructed to quantitatively analyze the implementation effect of the post-disaster reconstruction policy in Sichuan Province.The regression results of the model show that the Wenchuan Earthquake's anti-earthquake support and reconstruction models have obvious effects.The sixth chapter is a quantitative analysis of the impact of non-disaster economic development model on the economic growth of poverty in the eastern and central regions.In this chapter,the first is to analyze the current situation of poverty alleviation work in Hebei Province,Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region and Hubei Province,and secondly to determine the location of the “non-disaster” areas in these typical provinces,and finally to verify the effectiveness of the non-disaster economic development models in the three provinces.The quantitative impact of the non-disaster economic development model on economic growth in poverty-stricken areas in these three provinces is derived.It focuses on the economic effects of post-disaster reconstruction in Sichuan Province to simulate the impact of virtual “disaster reconstruction” in the non-disaster economic development zones of the three provinces,and collects data to verify its impact.The final result proves that if we learn from the experiences of post-earthquake reconstruction policies in Sichuan Province,and from the empirical research and analysis on non-disaster economic development models in some poverty-stricken areas in central China(Hebei Province,Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region and Hubei Province).Result in if we learn from natural disasters,the precise poverty alleviation model by referring the reconstruction model can greatly promote the development of the local economical society.The seventh chapter is a quantitative analysis of the impact of the non-disaster economic development model on the economic growth of the typical provinces in the western region.Similar to Chapter 6,continue to explore the location of non-disaster economic development zones in the three western provinces of Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region,Guizhou Province,and Yunnan Province,and the impact of nondisaster reconstruction on the economic growth of poverty-stricken areas(non-disaster areas)in various provinces.The final result proves that if we learn from the experience of Sichuan's post-disaster reconstruction policy,by conducting empirical research and analysis on the non-disaster economic development model in some poverty-stricken areas in the western part of China(Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region,Yunnan Province,Guizhou Province),by referring the model of natural disaster reconstruction,the precise poverty alleviation model can also greatly promote the development of the local economical society.(4)Research prospects and conclusions: The eighth and ninth chapters of this paper summarize the conclusions of the research and looking forward to the application prospects of this research.The eighth chapter gives a detailed summary of the current situation and achievements of precision poverty alleviation.It especially analyzes the current situation and the factors that causes of poverty by non-economic and economic terms,and demonstrates the necessity of precision poverty alleviation.After interpreting China's current precise poverty alleviation methods,to conclude that the prospects for the application of non-disaster economic development models in precision poverty alleviation are prospected.The ninth chapter summarizes the research conclusions of the non-disaster economic development model and gives some comprehensive policy recommendations.In the end,the overall findings of this paper are as follows:First,in the case that the non-disaster economy is not put into practical use,the panel data regression model is used to analyze and test the areas where the non-disaster economic development model is applied in the virtual.The final data shows that its simulation results prove that the non-disaster economic development model will effectively enhance the economic development of these regions from various aspects,and improve the efficiency of economic growth,as well as further optimize the industrial structure.At the same time,there has been a significant increase in per capita income and per capita fixed consumption.In the development of infrastructure,the increase in local tax revenue brought by income has increased.Secondly,this paper considers the reconstruction of natural disasters with the precision poverty alleviation under the development of non-disaster economic development as a highly unified related objects.By studying its internal relations and using the model of regional reconstruction after natural disasters,it can be used to refer back to the poverty alleviation process.From a macro perspective,both of them urgently need to be implemented by local governments under the overall planning and guidance of the central government,so as to achieve the purpose of reconstruction and poverty alleviation,and at the same time drive and develop the regional economy,and fundamentally improve from the disaster.Moreover,these two need a long-term planning and construction period to maintain the continuity and implementability of the policy,and to truly reverse the economic development in these areas.In addition,among the reconstruction of natural disasters and the precise poverty alleviation under the development of non-disaster economic development,they all have extremely high local and regional characteristics.From “one district,one policy” and even “one person,one policy”,it is also represent as "one to one support" and "one to one assistance" in practice.In the "one to one support",we will coordinate the resources of all parties to do one thing.In the "one to one assistance",coordinate the government and public resources to provide targeted support and resolution on the target area,which can be actively and effectively used for reference. |
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