Study Of Financial Decision-making Emulate Of Thermal Power Operation And Maintenance Project Based On Information Entity Simulation

With clear and depth direction of electric power system reform, electricity generation market will undergo significant changes. In the form of "separation between the firm and the net, bidding on-line" reform, the competition of thermal power operation and maintenance projects’market will be fierce. Many problems have been put to the front of the managers, such as how to position business model, how to determine the price, how to establish market mode, how to determine the future electricity market competition and how practical experience of senior management personnel to make decisions. To solve these problems, only relying on experience, can not meet the development needs of the immediate, however, the using of current technological development, expanding the variety of ways in the simulation study not only saves money and effort, but also meets the real need. Therefore, a study of financial decision-making simulation of thermal power operation and maintenance projects is an objective needs, but also a realistic option. Research the scientific, reasonable and suitable thermal power company’s business development decision-making theory, method and development of corresponding software system is an important core problem of the current thermal power company decision theory research and one of the frontier problems of Management Science research in the world. This research can improve thermal power company managers’personnel decision-making level, promote the development of our country’s electric power industry and have important theoretical value and practical value.This paper divided thermal power generation projects into three sub-projects, including design projects, engineering construction projects and operation and maintenance projects. This paper mainly studies thermal power operation and maintenance projects’ financial decisions.Based on literature research, theoretical research and field investigation, through analysis of the current status of domestic and international business development decision-making simulation system, this paper analyses the development of thermal power company management decision-making simulation theory and the necessity of the research on the implementation. This paper describes the conditions and inadequate research of the academic theories about thermal power operation and maintenance projects decision-making simulation theory and proposes thermal power operation and maintenance projects’ decision-making simulation concept and research content. This paper also analyzes the factors of subject, object, media that could influence thermal power company developments’ decision and uses rough set theory to establish thermal power operation and maintenance projects’ decision-making simulation index system. This paper designs overall framework, specific framework and databases of thermal power operation and maintenance projects’ decision-making simulation system. Especially under the guidance of the decision-making simulations, systems theory and other basic theory, in order to achieve the goal of information entities, the paper developed a kind sandbox system of thermal power operation and maintenance projects’ decision-making simulation. Taking the capacity and power orders changes as the means, this paper establishes virtual "electricity trading center" from monopoly to complete competition. The real morphology shows the process of electric power production. On the basis of successfully developed thermal power plants business decision simulation sand table system, this paper uses the decision simulation theory for the first time to develop the decision-making simulation software system that have the characteristics of thermal power plants and apply to thermal power plant managers. Establish reliability and validity index system, verify the reliability and and validity of thermal power operation and maintenance projects’ decision-making simulation.Main innovation of this paper:1. Proposes the concept of thermal power operation and maintenance projects’ decision-making simulation, using rough set principle attribute reduction indicators of thermal power operation and maintenance projects decision-making body, object, media. Construct indicator system of thermal power operation and maintenance projects’decision-making simulation.2. Gives assistant financial decision methods for thermal power operation and maintenance projects’ managers. To provide a reference for thermal power operation and maintenance projects’ managers in major financial decisions such as:electricity trading, coal trading and investment, in order to make decisions optimized.3. Establishes a virtual "power trading center" and "coal trading center". Simulate the market trading of power procurement and coal procurement by physical form, and developes a physical modeling and software simulation system of thermal power operation and maintenance projects’decision-making.4. On the basis of an improved method of Entropy Weight, this paper establishes a comprehensive economic assessment model of thermal power operation and maintenance project decision-making simulation model, develops a thermal power operation and maintenance project decision-making simulation system.