Research For Factors Influencing China's Carbon Dioxide Emissions Based On The Hypothesis Of Environmental Kuznets Curve

With China's rapid economic growth, the problem which China's consumption of fossil energy had produced lots of carbon dioxide emissions has become increasingly prominent. In the context of low carbon economy, China not only maintains economic growth, also needs carbon dioxide emission to the allowable range. However, in order to accomplish this goal we need to develop reasonable and feasible measures to reduce emissions of carbon dioxide. Therefore, it is very important to study the factors of carbon dioxide emissions.In this paper, In order to reveal the intrinsic relationship between carbon emission and impact factors, we have deeply studied China's carbon emissions and impact factors. Finally, we put forward feasible policy recommendations for China's carbon reduction. Specific research ideas are, first, we use the hypothesis of Environmental Kuznets Curve to build China's carbon dioxide Environmental Kuznets Curve model. Second, by using the OLS method, stationary test, co-integration test and other methods, we research empirically the intrinsic relationship of China's carbon dioxide emissions, per capita real GDP, energy efficiency, energy structure. Third, we analyze deeply each of impact factors of carbon dioxide emission.The main conclusions are:First, China is a large amount of carbon emissions in the world in the first place, which caused China face increasing international pressure to reduce carbon dioxide emissions; In the three industries, the second industry is the major energy consuming sectors, resulting in the vast majority of carbon emissions. Second, China's carbon emissions and per capita real GDP exist inverted "U" shaped relationship, the turning point value is 24.155 million, much larger than the 2009 per capita real GDP (4924.9), indicating that China now Per capita real GDP is in the left the turning point, and far from the turning point; improve energy efficiency's contribution to reduce carbon emissions greater than the contribution of the energy structure. Third, compared with other countries or regions, China's energy utilization efficiency and lower energy structure is low, indicating that China has a large emission reduction potential; Fourth, by predictive analysis, our conclusion is that China will complete the carbon Intensity goal in 2020.According to conclusions, we propose the following Policy recommendations: First, improve energy efficiency; secondly, develop non-fossil energy; finally, popularize low carbon concept.