The Analysis Of Beijing Traffic Energy Demand And Environmental Emissions In 2008

With the energy shortage is getting more severe everday, the traffic department, as a high energy consumption department listed at the top of all the departments for unit output petroleum consumption, has contributed higher environmental emission. Beijing, as an international metropolis, has an higher and higher demand for energy consumtion with its all types of traffic need, when the economy is in steady and high-speed growth, which then severed the environmental emission at the same time.Based on this background, This thesis will establish a AIM/energy technology model/Beijing traffic energy demand and environmental emissions model in 2008, in accordance with the AIM/energy technology model. And furthermore, a model database will be created by using the regression analysis to come up with the traffic energy demand and the conventional air pollutants and greenhouse gas environmental emissions for year 2008 in Beijing. The model results show that the minimum energy demand is 2.7390E+llMcal, when shifting the individual traffic volume to public transportation, adjusting energy technologies, and developing new renewable energy and the energy-saving environmentally friendly technology. On the environmental emission amount, CO, HC, CO₂, SO₂ has the highest reduction rates. The corresponding cutting rates, relative to the status without the suggested changes, are 17.20%, 14.78%, 2.67% and 2.35%, respectively. At the last, this thesis proposed an optimized traffic development strategy for Beijing based on the above study. Hopefully, the suggestions in this thesis can provide some useful reference to the traffic development in Beijing.