Research On Supply Capacity And Market Competitiveness Of Chinese Railway Passenger Transportation

China is a typical continental country, has a vast territory, large but uneven distribute population, uneven development of regional economic, asymmetric industrial distribution and the distribution of resources. All of the above has created a high-intensity inter-regional passenger traffic flow. As the major transportation in the integrated transportation system, railway takes the mid-long distance passenger traffic volume. Although railway passenger traffic is increasing year by year in China, Chinese railway passenger transportation is facing a great challenge as the market share showing a downward trend by the increasing competition in various modes of transportation. Researching on the issue of improving railway passenger transportation market competitive ability has important practical significance.The paper analyzes Chinese railway passenger market competitive ability by the method of quantitative analysis and model creating based on large data. It shows the railway passenger support level based on train timetable by the method of Excel processing and Delphi programming from the adaptation angle of the railway passenger support to demand. In addition, it compares railway passenger service with the civil aviation in the angles of service quality, service network and market share using Excel and SPSS statistical analysis, which give a conclusion:the future of railway and civil passenger transport competition is mainly in the distance of more than 1000km. Then, it builds railway competitiveness Logit model based on supply and customer satisfaction, and analyzes the competition of railway passenger more than 1000km-distance traffic volume and civil aviation, In the last, through calculating the model, it gives some related recommendations for improving Chinese railway passenger transportation market competitiveness.