Influence Study On The Relation Of Target Speed Value And Passenger Demand Of High Speed Maglev Transportation

As a new-style traffic system, high-speed maglev transportation is weighty technology innovation in communications and transport area, and vying with one another to be researched even in many developed country where the high-speed railway net had been established. The first commercial operation line of high-speed maglev transportation, which adopts TR-EMS technology, had been constructed in China and proved the successful project.Accepted by market is the precondition of high-speed maglev transportation system has been further used. Being one of important content of market-extending about the technology, it is indispensable to study the influence on target speed value of every vehicle and passenger demand of high-speed maglev transportation.In the dissertation, behaviors of passenger while they selecting travel model is established trough utility theory and multiple objective decision-making method based on summarize the range of variation of mainly vehicle travel speed. Then analyzing models for market share of high-speed maglev transportation system are developed in target speed value of high-speed maglev transportation and the other model, and obtained the analysis conclusion of passenger transportation demand further. The main research is as follows:1. The development of travel speed of every traffic model is discussed systematically going with the development economy and technique, and summarized the range of variation of travel speed.2. Internalization of external cost about transportation is analyzed, and applied correlative quantitative date to the utility model;3. Elastic analysis of high-speed maglev transportation is discussed, and calculated the market share of high-speed maglev transportation under different travel model;4. Passenger transport demand of high-speed maglev transportation deducted in different economic social development and the travel distance, and proofed the qualitative analysis between the target speed value and passenger transport demand; 5. Suggested speed value of high-speed maglev transportation is offered, which can be consulted for correlative parameters selecting and technical economy analysis.