Study On The Analysis Of Affecting Factors And The Application Of Forecasting Techniques About Domestic Tourist Needs

After studying and summarizing a large amount of materials, and studying and counseling from experts of China Tourism college in Peking. The author realized that the study of domestic tourist demand is in urgent. On the basis of introduction about the status of domestic tourist needs, the affecting factors on domestic tourist needs were analyzed by qualitative and quantitative methods. The other part of the paper gave introductions about some kinds of forecasting techniques firstly, then selected the most suitable techniques on domestic tourist amount forecast, and five-year's forecast was made. Some suggests were also made. The aim of the paper was to give some theoretic supports and methodological directions exciting domestic tourist needs further for government and corporation.