Study On Early-Warning System Of Survival Development For IT Industry In Fujian

After Reform and Open Policy, IT industry in Fujian has developed at full speed, and the total output value has increased from 1.3 hundred million Yuan to 509.94 hundred million Yuan. Its output value has ranked the first in Fujian industry system. Since it is a high-tech industry that means high-input, high-risk and high-earnings, it is liable to be affected by the environment. These years, the development speed of IT industry in Fujian has slowed down, because the global economics has declined. But IT industry is still the most important industry in Fujian.Now it is in the crucial point for IT industry in Fujian, so that its healthy development has become the focuses of both the industrial circles and the academic circles' research. Therefore, the author make a study on early-warning system of the survival development for IT industry in Fujian. Based on IT industry theory, industrial economical management theory, survival development theory, and early-warning system theory, this article explores deeply early-warning system of the survival development for IT industry in Fujian by means of the integrations to quantitative and qualitative analyses,static and dynamic analyses, theoretical research and positive studies.Firstly, the article brings up the theory of survival development for IT industry in Fujian. Secondly, it begins to explore the vital effect of the early-warning system in survival development for IT industry in Fujian, besides the characteristics, precondition, building process, structure and function. Thirdly, it establishes an index system, which includes a constraint layer of three constraint factors, such as industrial science and technology, industrial economics and industrial circumstance, and 19 indexes. In order to ascertain the dividing lines of alarming situation, it introduces the concept of subordinate degree. It demonstrates the results by means of the beacon light system that contains red, yellow and green light. Finally, it tests and verifies the early-warning system by the statistic data of IT industry in Fujian from 1995 to 2001. After the analyses of all the 19 indexes, the constraint layer and the whole system, it brings forward five conclusions and apocalypses.