The Research Of Fujian Province Macroeconometric Model

By the systematic analysis of the national economic structure and macroeconomic running feature of Fujian Province since its reform and opening,depending on the time-series data of economic variables, to synthetically use certain economic theories,econometric methods and computer application software, the author established a macroeconometric model of Fujian Province. By the tool of our established model,the dissertation analyzes the multiplier effects of some economic variables including Foreign Direct Investment to Fujian Province,Foreign Direct Investment from Taiwan Province and Fujian Goods Export Trade etc. Furthermore, the dissertation forecasts the macroeconomy of Fujian Province and gives the economic developing tendency and the analysis outcome of some main macroeconomic indexes; to simulate different economic growing ways, the dissertation gives the future aim of Fujian Province economic growth in the term of the tenth five-year project. Wish the research have certain practical use on the making of economic policy and developing project in the government; Wish the model be used as a reference model for our colleagues studying a macroeconometric model...