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The Analysis And Forecast Of Employment And Unemployment Of Labor In JiLin Province

Posted on:2005-10-15Degree:MasterType:Thesis
Country:ChinaCandidate:S J ShenFull Text:PDF
GTID:2156360122499763Subject:Demography
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The article studied on employment and unemployment in Jilin Province and introduced several classical theories of employment. Based on these theories, it also discussed the realistic meaning of study of employment, and predicted the labor supply of Jilin Province in 2050. The result of research showed that there are a great deal of problems in the present situation of the employment of Jilin Province which demand prompt solution. I.Classical theories of employmentThis article introduced two representative figures in this field--Iraq Sa and Keynes, discussed their theories and made comparisons with each other. In the author's opinion, the difference of these two employment theories is that the theory of Iraq Sa represented general view of employment in the period when capitalism was rising. But because his theory was based on Sa Iraq law, it hasn't too much persuasion now. Sa Iraq law concluded that supply produced demand by itself and the enterprise could sell out all its own products because the entrepreneur certainly would define the marginal demand of the labor on the marginal productivity. Therefore full employment was sure. The error of the theory of full employment lied in confusing the exchange of commodities with the exchange of barter. Keynes inherited the past research and created the innovative theory of involuntary unemployment. Upon his view, it was normal for there to be unemployment, while full employment is only on the blade. Undoubtedly his employment theory built on insufficient valid demand was more perusable than Sa Iraq's theory. By analyzing the two classical theories of employment, this paper further demonstrated the significance of research on employment and unemployment: First, it is the important index that weighs national economical operation; second, the status of employment and unemployment has close ties with our matter and moral life.II.The quantity and structure of labor resource in Jilin Province According to the data retrieved from the first to the fifth census, we can draw out the annual growth rate of labor resource and of total population, analyze the change of the structure of labor resource in Jilin Province, and find out that the high business population sex ratio of Jilin Province has already changed. In the industrial structure of employment the business population proportion of the first industry appeared to rise, and its counterpart in the secondary industry drops. We also made data analysis of the quantity and structure of employment and unemployment. The result of it indicated that unemployment rate of different areas differed widely in localities in Jilin Province, and the female unemployment rate is larger than that male in the cities.III. The current situation of employment and unemployment and its existing problemsJilin Province has much population and abundant labor resource, but also has a large amount of unemployment which was mainly embodies in the following aspects included. First, the total amount of unemployment in the general meaning, which includes the urban labor who lost jobs because of some reasons and the new labor who can not find jobs; Second, the " laid-off workers " which is a special kind of the unemployment taking place during the period of economic system reform such as the state-owned enterprise, urban collective-owned enterprise and other economic departments. Meanwhile, through this research, we can also draw out several reasons that lead to this kind of phenomenon, such as the population of labor age increases too fast; the industrial structure is not rational; the gross unemployment and structural unemployment exist at the same time; recessive unemployment is becoming visible; the low social holding capacity of the problem of unemployment and the imperfect social security system.IV.Prediction of labor supply in Jilin Province in 2050We have predicted from the demographic angle the situation of the labor supply in Jilin Province in 2050. First of all, according to "the five censuses" data we calculate out bor...
Keywords/Search Tags:Unemployment
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