| Temporal evaluation of tourist destination development has made great achievement in its hierarchical structure and methods. However, there also exist some drawbacks, so it is necessary to carry on deeper researches in these respects. As to tourist destination of the karst, the overall macroscopic appraisals are few, let alone deeper researches on temporal evaluation. Based on cognitions above, we think it is significant both in theory and in practice to carry on temporal evaluation about karst tourist destinations systematically.The temporal evaluation of tourist destination development in karst is based on such theories as karstology, Comparative advantage theory, Advantage theory of the competition, Position theory, Differentiated theory of region, Differentiated theory of travel industry, Life cycle theory of tourist destinations, Sustainable developing theory. It has the following requirements: reflecting the temporal and spatial two-dimensional competition, striving to evaluate quantitative method primarily and qualitative method secondly; trying to make evaluation scientific objective, using the dynamic view to carry out the sustainable development. It can benefit regional strategic decision.Employing driving power, developing stage power and other corrective power, this thesis, by means of Analytic Hierarchy Process, attempts to set up a model of the temporal evaluation of tourist destination development in karst The model confirms weight of appraisal factors in Delphi way with such softwares asMATLAB,SPSS, and utilizes fuzzy mathematics method to explore factor standard on appraisal factors, finally utilizes Fishbein-Rosenberg model to keep the comprehensive appraisal score of the sites. We fix the supreme value of the model for 10 points, the minimum value 0 point. Temporal evaluation of tourist destination in karst can be divided into 4 grades, that is, 1 grade: > 7.5 points; 2 grades: 5-7.5 points; 3 grades: 2.5-5 points; 4 grades: <2.5 points. In addition, this thesis discusses the overall characteristics of temporal development of different tourist destinations and the evaluations on their driving power, developmental stages power, other related power and measures respectively.On the basis of field investigation, this thesis evaluates the temporal developments of ten national scenic spots in typical karst areas of Guizhou by means of this model. The present temporal evaluation plans to develop first of all Libo Zhangjiang, Huangguoshu and Malinghe canyon, and then Hongfeng Lake, Doupeng Mountain - Jianjiang, Wuyang River, Longgong, Zhijin Cave and Jiulong Cave secondly, Jiudongtian gradually. On the basis of applying the methods such as time-curving, this thesis argues firstly that all the samples should in the future strengthen the development and replacement of tourism products, reinforce the open-up and cultivation of the market, optimize the organization of tourist enterprises, push competition of tourist enterprises from price to quality and to culture, turn high investment with low output into normal investment with normal output and eventually into low investment with high output, change the growth ways of quantity-oriented and export-oriented into the benefit-oriented andintension -oriented type to quicken the steps in line with international standards. This thesis discusses the measures of every example secondly. |
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