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Prediction To Future Population And Main Consumption Goods Demand In Hubei Province

Posted on:2006-02-05Degree:MasterType:Thesis
Country:ChinaCandidate:M G ChuFull Text:PDF
GTID:2156360152488935Subject:Industrial Economics
Abstract/Summary:PDF Full Text Request
Relation between population and consumption is the one among population and social economic development in fact.Material goods production is the prerequisite and foundation that social economy depends on to exist and develop, whereas mankind itself production is the prerequisite and foundation that mankind depends on to exist and develop. The principle of interrelation between two kinds of production tells us that, sustainable, steady and coordinative economic development and continuous rise in living standards of people require the total amount and proportion of consuming and population to coordinate with each other objectively. Mankind itself production must be coordinative to the material goods production, which is objective demand of the social development and inexorable trend. The proper population amount, higher population quality, will promote national economy to be healthy, fast greatly,effective into development; Too much population, lower population quality, will suppress the development of national economy , the amount level of consuming. The two complement each other. The interrelation of two kinds of production is the guideline and the theoretical foundation that we realize the correlation between population and socioeconomic harmonious development. Because the relation between " two kinds of production " is the one between population development and socioeconomic development in fact, imbalance and coordination of the relation between two kinds of production, is just the, origin of contradictory movement existing in population and social economic, of the coordination and imbalance of the population-socioeconomic correlation.Hubei province, located in the central part of our country, is the crossing belt, whose traffic is extremely convenient. The degree of population and consumption development in Hubei influence and restrict Hubei's economic development directly. At the present stage, the relation of two kinds of production of Hubei is not very coordinated, the existing major problems include: incoordination between rising population and increasing consumption level, great population base, fast populationgrowth rate, low population quality, its unreasonable structure, which is still principal contradictions in a quite long period in the future. Studying population and consumption correlation is essential to realize the well-off society in Hubei in the future.Proceeding from the development of people and characteristics of the current consumption situation in Hubei, targeted with the coordinated development of consumption and population, the text has analyzed the factor influencing change of population on the basis of using the west for reference and summarizing our country's existing better experience, and have predicted the numbers of total population in Hubei, male, female population of the following ten years by means of grey dynamical model. Further on this basis, the text has analyzed the factor influencing the demand of the consumption goods and consumption structure, and have made a analysis and prediction to future consumption goods demand and consumption structure of Hubei, so as to offer consultation to decision for making the corresponding population policy , for planning adjusting -, controlling national economic and social development in Hubei and the people's lives.
Keywords/Search Tags:population prediction, consumption demand, population size, consumption structure
PDF Full Text Request
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