The Demand Forecasting And Overall Arrangement Studying Of The Comprehensive Traffic Of Hubei

The 16th National Congress of Communist Party of China proposes to concentrate strength in the first 20 years of this century, built the well-off society which benefited more than ten hundred million people in an all-round way, realize the goal of modernized struggle basically by the middle of this century, make economy development, democracy sound, science and education progress, culture prosperous, society harmony, further more well-off people's lives further. The goal of social economic development of Hubei in the following 20 years is that on the basis of optimizing the structure and increasing the benefit, gross domestic product by 2020 quadruple more than than 2000, accelerate the urbanization, advance the informationization steadily. Build up a perfect socialist market economy system and sound social security system, the family's property generally increase, the people live richer life. The ecological environment gets bigger improvement, resource utilization efficiency improves notably, sustainable development ability improves constantly. Building well-off society is national strategic in the new century and new stage which make country richer and stronger. It is a total guiding principle of all-round developing the Chinese characteristics socialism politics, economy, culture, environment. It have put forward new higher demand for the development of the communication and transportation business.It will be the important period from 10 to 20 years of the future that Hubei builds the well-off society in an all-round way; it is opportunity period that t he traffic of Hubei realizes the new great-leap-forward development, strategic building the strong province of traffic of the Midwest too. By the development trend, Hubei will fully utilize resource advantage and position advantage of examining oneself, accelerate the steps of industrialization, urbanization and informationization. Total supply and demand and transportation demand growth potential are enormous in the future.With the development of the economic, the adjustment of economic structure, the changing of the regional space pattern, it need to adjust and plan the alreadyexisting comprehensive traffic structure. In this text from the term of determining the nature, analysed current situation and existing problem of the comprehensive trafic in Hubei, and combined the socio-economic development current situation, planning and current situation of urban development of Hubei to analyse the position advantage of comprehensive traffic, proposed the rational localization of the comprehensive traffic of Hubei. On the basis of qualitative analysis, adopt the time array law, pluralism coming-back and neural network predicting to pridict the demand of comprehensive traffic and different transportation way in the coming year. On this basis, proposed the guidelines, principle and overall development goal of comprehensive traffic network, and planned network overall arrangement of the comprehensive traffic of Hubei. Finally, proposed the comprehensive traffic policy recommendations in Hubei.