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A Study On Early-Warning Mechanism Of Emergent Group Events

Posted on:2011-01-11Degree:MasterType:Thesis
Country:ChinaCandidate:J ChenFull Text:PDF
GTID:2166330332479189Subject:Management Science and Engineering
Abstract/Summary:PDF Full Text Request
With the development of our county's economic, various social problems spring up, the number of group events increase, the scale become more larger, the effect become more intensive year by year. Group events have been an important factor for the development of our harmonious society. So we must establish a feasible group events warning mechanism to collect timely warning information, analysis the trend of group events accurately by scientific method, and then formulate coping strategies. All of those works is beneficial for us to reduce losses greatly that is caused by group events.This paper's research foundation base on the present group accents theoretical background, make further systematic exposition and discussed on group accents' incentive, characteristics, evolution process and early warning mechanism, use management, sociology, public management theory, statistics, risk assessment method theory, Construct group accents early warning mechanism of theoretical model, design six sub-systems consisted of 12 subsystem,60 specific indicators of early-warning index system, use Delphi method and analytic hierarchy process and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method to establish the evaluation model.Firstly, this paper defines the basic definition and characteristics of group events, classify it form scale and attribute dimensions, and construct the process model of group events. And then, the second part analysis the problems in our country's group events early warning management, points out the meaning and function of group events early warning management. According to characteristics of group events, this paper sets up group event early warning system and procedure of early warning, and explains each subsystem's function and structure, set up group accents early warning index system and multi-level fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model. Lastly, this paper adopt China-Japan disputes background, analysis group events risk degree in Wuhan city, and put forward to prevent disposal of countermeasures.
Keywords/Search Tags:Group Events, Early-Warning Mechanism, Index system, Assess model
PDF Full Text Request
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