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Researching Of Construction And Applications In Early Warning Index System For Group Incidents In China

Posted on:2011-04-25Degree:MasterType:Thesis
Country:ChinaCandidate:B HuangFull Text:PDF
GTID:2196330338496454Subject:Administrative Management
Abstract/Summary:PDF Full Text Request
In China, the group incidents has currently become affect social stability of outstanding problems. At present, our country society is in social transition and the elements of the differentiation and integration between structure will inevitably be imbalances and disorder, thus make social resource allocation uneven, a lot of social contradictions and unsteady factors are created, and in a period ahead may also be increased. Masses event, if it happens, may disrupt the normal social order, thereby endangering public security, so it has become affect social stability of an unavoidable important factors, become committees and governments and relevant functional departments especially alongside maintain public order, social security of the public security organ must seriously study and proper disposal of realistic problem.This article through to the social transition and the relationship between intrinsic masses event to make a deep analysis of group incidents happened to study the mechanism, and choose the typical model affairs for actual investigation and research, analyzes the crisis management problems, and studies the masses event to public crisis logic research process, then to establish group incidents of social early warning mechanism, to form a set of public crisis of social warning system, constructing a complete set of masses event early-warning index system, and by using ahp and Delphi method to calculate the live the index system of the weight of each index, and through documental materials and expert communication get the index system of evaluation criteria of division, in order to construct the relative complete group incidents early-warning index system. Finally, this paper use based on whitenization weight function of grey clustering analysis method to evaluate the index system, the paper analyzes the 2008 with a province as a case, the relevant data of the index system verification, predict the province group incidents in each index can occur under the possibility of group incidents, and according to the results of the validation to the province are proposed.
Keywords/Search Tags:Masses Event, Social Crisis, Early Warning Index System
PDF Full Text Request
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