The Positive Research Of Economic Growth Of Hainan's Fishery

Hainan Sea covers about 2 million square kilometers. Hainan boasts the great advantages in the oceanic resources and develops the fishery economy with enormous potentiality. The promotion to the fishery's economic growth is the foundation of the sustained development of Hainan economy. With China-ASEAN Free Trade Area moving forward steadily, fishery economy will be the important and new source to grow, and the common exploitation of South China Sea resources with the neighboring countries requires developing the fishery economy objectively in Hainan. We can come up with the new idea and thinking for healthy and harmonious development of fishery of Hainan as the reference through the positive analysis of development of Hainan fishery economy. Meanwhile we find the quantitative relationships between the elements of input and output and prove the style of economic growth of Hainan and find the influence factors.This dissertation has studied the route of the economic growth of Hainan and methods of optimization by combining the positive research with the normative research, the qualitative analysis with the quantitative analysis. Firstly, it describes the current situation and its features in the fishery's economic growth by utilizing the statistical data of Hainan fishery economy though the positive study. Secondly, with the application of statistics and econometrics, adoption of linear regression and non-linear regression methods, the dissertation selects the good model by comparison from the different aspects including economics, statistics and econometrics and prediction, establishes the production function of catching industry of Hainan, the breeding's production function of Hainan and the fishery's production function of Hainan correspondingly finally, and has imitated and predicted to the fishery economy in Hainan by estimating and imitating from the data with EXCEL and SAS8.1.The production function of catching industry of Hainan is written: Y = 1.91316E-07X₁^1.140527X₂^1.20921The breeding production function of fishery of Hainan is written:...