Research On Availability Analysis And Prediction Of Coal Resources In Chongqing

As substantial materials for sustaining development of national economy and society, reserves of mineral resources and their availability in supply is one of major factors affecting a country or a region's economic prosperity and industries'structure and distribution. Coal is the dominant energy source produced in Chongqing Municipality, accounting for its 60% energy supply and playing a key role in pushing forward Chongqing economy and society. According to requirements that the sustainable development of Chongqing economy, society and environment has made for coal, an overall investigation of Chongqing coal exploration, reserves, distribution, characteristics, exploitation and production capacity has been performed, and suggestions about how to strike a balance between reasonably exploiting coal resources and promoting sustainable development of Chongqing national economy and society have been presented. A grey model, on the basis of grey system theory, for predicting Chongqing coal consumption, has been established with coal consumption in the next 5 years predicted. Prediction results show that the forecast model is of high reliability and can be put to practical use for other mineral products consumption prediction. Based on the previous analytical research, a set of policies guaranteeing Chongqing coal supply has been put forward.