Country Economic Risk Assessment In ECI

Export credit insurance (ECI) is internationally accepted and is effective means of promoting exports, and it could bring not only the micro function of security guarantees receipt, obtaining bank financing and providing business information services, etc., more importantly, but macro function of implementation of country policies, such as national foreign trade, industry, finance and banking, etc. ECI undertakes economic losses caused by buyer risk and country risk, but its core business is country risk, which is behaved in the form of political risk and economic risk. The risk of ECI is irregularity, therefore, the assessment of country risk is of particular importance significance, which relating directly to pivotal technique establishment of premium rate, risk controlling, etc., determine the sound development of the cause of ECI as well as being taken continuously deal in, and promoting national implementation of macroeconomic policies.From the angel of economic risk, this paper actualizes of combining quantitative and qualitative assessment methods of treating country risk in ECI, there being three main content blocks. First, through the brief summary of country risk by the credit rating agencies abroad, the assessment indicators adopted are analyzed comprehensively that the assessment system chosen is not suitable for ECI. On the basis of this analysis, the core assessment indicator of country economic risk is the capability of obtaining net foreign exchange revenue. Second, focus on the core risk assessment of the national economic indicators started theoretical analysis. In Balance of Payment principle, the macroeconomic of a sovereign country is analyzed in the international perspective. And the flow as well as the stock economic indicators, which is mainly country macroeconomic gains and country economic assets amount, is structured according to the trait of ECI through establishing the foreign exchange flow valuation model. It is much needed to design the factors of this paper about...