| With the electricity market deregulated step by step, the risk that the power supply enterprise faces is getting more and more. The risk needs to carry on quantitative analysis, in order to carry on the valid risk control, the research work in this field has just begun in our country. The paper analyses the risk that power supply reliability brings to power supply enterprise, describes the power supply reliability status of power supply enterprise and the evaluation method of power supply reliability, explains the concept of customer outage costs—the main factor of the power supply reliability risk. The paper sets up the risk control model of the power supply reliability risk, and proves to validity and effectiveness of the model. It proposes the control strategy of risk based on reliability power price at the same time, and expounds the fact how to utilize the reliability power price to control the power supply reliability risk, and provides the model of the reliability power price. |