The Study Of The Citizen Income Distribution Impacts On Passenger Cars' Market The Basis Of Dynamitic Simulation Model In China

China's auto industry through 50 years of development, especially since the beginning of reform and opening up, has been made to flourish. China's rapid economic development and continuous improvement of people's income and provide a huge automotive industry development space, also provided a huge market. China's auto market from the current situation and the level of industrial development in the world. Sales of China's auto market in the longer period of time mainly to the domestic market. This need for the various factors affecting the development of the domestic automobile market analysis, a scientific forecast of demand on the domestic market, reasonable long-term and short-term development plans. Auto consumption has increased the proportion of the total consumption of automobiles, has been promoting China's auto market demand, the main driver of growth. But auto market demand and consumption from the government and enterprises, private consumption accounts for the change in the dominant position. With the change in people's consumption level and consumption structure, the demand for passenger cars will be based on a broad market demand. However, in recent years the level of income of residents in China but also in the process of expanding along with income disparities, The income gap among residents in this constantly changing circumstances. China's auto market demand is the future of this thesis is the main problem. In this paper, using system dynamics, knowledge of statistics and econometrics, Through the analysis of the factors affecting automobile market demand, Construction of a combination of income distribution in China auto market knowledge dynamic simulation model and the simulation model map plan. Powersim dynamic simulation software through simulation. a demand for the next 15 years China's auto market, the volume of scrap PCs and forecast data. Meanwhile, the income disparity between different changes in the future of our country through the process of assuming the scenes, several design changes in process Simulation changes in the income gap, China's future auto market demand changes.This dissertion is divided into six parts:The first part is the introduction. Research on the background and the mean forecast of the domestic automobile market research on the method for sorting out. Foreign auto market is relatively mature, especially the developed countries, For foreign market demand for motor vehicles are primarily used to predict the micro-economics, Utility Theory and Econometrics forecasts for certain groups. China's car market and a late start, the automobile market in recent years, only more prominent, China's automobile market demand for the projection made by the time sequence, econometric modeling, artificial neural network method.The second part of the development of passenger cars and influencing factors. Analysis of the status quo of China's car market in particular, the status quo of China's auto market. Auto demand has become the major force vehicles, especially private cars. After the study, the main factors affecting the auto market analysis. China auto market policy response to a dynamic simulation model of the discovery phase of the project, which the residents of the auto market demand income distribution demand is a major influence factors on the distribution of income in order to establish a simulation model auto market forecast.The third part is about the Chinese people's income distribution. Income for the automobile market demand study, it is necessary to study the Chinese people's income distribution. We analyzed the status quo of China's urban and rural people's income. come to our country both rural and urban residents in the distribution of income and greater than the gap between income groups. Through international comparison, the income gap between China's development trends, their causes and have more in-depth understanding. Finally, a forecast of future income distribution expectation and variance trends.Income distribution is the fourth part of the auto market dynamic simulation model. Based on the distribution of income, based on the second chapter of the automobile market forecast simulation model, a dynamic simulation model map model testing and the test results.The fifth part is based on the simulation model testing policies and countermeasures. The income gap between the trend of the future residents of the changes may be different for different people's expectations, We conducted the simulation. Meanwhile, the influence factors on the cost of the impact of the automobile market simulation. Finally, corresponding measures. Part VIThe sixth part is is a summary of the full text of theoretical and empirical research results and the outlook for future research.