Input-Out Analysis Of Industrial Structure Transition In China 1992-2002

The rationalized structure of industry and all industries are harmony with each other, what are basic premise and important insurance for economic development healthily and apace. The research about the structure of industry is an age-old, eternal topic. There are many methods being used in researching structure of industry. While the treatise about industrial structure are plenty. But most of these treatise emphasized particularly on market supply-demand or experiences of industrial variance, and lacked necessary datum. Currently, the economic development of China has been entering into a new era of industrial structure transition. Judged by the economic development condition of all countries over the world, there has obvious distinctions of stages in this field. Both various focal points and leading industries of economic development occurred at the various stages. There are many major problems of transition of industrial structure in different stages. To actualize industry structure's changeover strategically, there must be data analysis as a base. Base on this point, apply the input-output analysis, the paper has studied on industrial structure of China by the comprehensive comparative analysis, according to the materials provided by the input-output table of 1992,1997,2002 of China. Then, the reason of industrial structure transition is researched further. The text is consisted of exordium, theory, demonstration and conclusion. The emphasis is on the demonstration.The partⅠis exordium. Briefly introduced significance and the value of the selected topic, the method of research, frame and important point of the paper. The interactive mechanism between economic growth and changes of industrial structure is introduced detailed. Economic growth requires that industrial structure makes corresponding alteration, the industrial structure alteration can stimulate economic growth. That is what is trying to prove by using data analysis method in the thesis. The partⅡis the relevance theory prepare, includes the first chapter and thesecond chapter.The first chapter is introducing that industrial structure theory formation and development. Emphasize the history of input-output analysis development and the significance of input-output analysis for the study on industrial structure. Systematically draw on the experience of using input-output analysis studying on industrial structure.The second chapter introduces the input-output model. The input-output technologies applied in this thesis are as follows: row mode; column mode; basis flow analysis of input-output; direct consumptive coefficient; complete consumptive coefficient; Leontief'converse coefficient; inductivity coefficient; impact force coefficient.The partⅢis the most important part for demonstration analysis, includes the third chapter, the fourth chapter and the fifth chapter.First, industrial structure of our country is analyzed generally in the third chapter. According to the appraisal on industrial structure level, the writer considered that the recent industrialization progress of our country is in a level of middle stage and this is a relative objective appraisal.In the fourth chapter, using input-output technologies and comparative analysis, according to the input-output table of 1992,1997,2002 of China, the writer not only proves the third chapter's conclusion, but also makes appraisals on 30 product sectors of China from input aspect and output aspect. The writer considered that it should apply the input-output analysis to the study of restructuring as the basis and use the data and models of input-output to calculate and forecast the restructuring orientation in recent and future periods in order to optimize its structure and obtain effective allocation of resources.According to the front chapters, industry structure has changed, what cause is leading to the change? This is problem needed to solve in the fifth chapter. We consider that demand transition, technology transition, hybrid demand and technology transition are three main reasons of industry structure transition. By analyzing the input-output table of 1992 and 2002 of China, the writer obtains conclusion that demand transition is the most important.The partⅣis the sixth chapter of this paper. This part is the conclusion of the paper.