Research On Technology Foresight Of Transport Equipment Manufacture In Liaoning Province

Transport equipment manufacture industry holds a very important position in Liaoning Province; therefore, how to provide a beneficial and efficient approach to promote the future development of transport equipment manufacture in Liaoning is an urgent topic currently. Meanwhile, technology foresight can perform well as a guidance tool by taking societal factors and environmental factors into consideration, thereby being beneficial to the rapid development of regional economic.This paper firstly tries to introduce text mining technology into the field of technology foresight and further combine with literature measurement, scenario analysis considering the present trend, scientific and technological resources' status and technological level of products, as well as the future goal of Liaoning Province, to generate the list of alternative technologies suitable for actual circumstance of Liaoning. And then select key technologies and common technologies through statistical analysis of survey results.The final results show that most of the technologies listed in the questionnaire will be realized before the year 2012 and key technologies mostly focus on the area of ship and railway transport equipment manufacture and evolve with the development of information technology, security, energy-saving, environmental technology, intelligent technology, in accordance with the perspective of future society. Moreover, evidences indicate that although auto traffic transport equipment manufacture industry is a key industry required to be developed, compared with the other two areas, its situation is not satisfying and still should be largely specialized in despite that the survey results may be a little inaccurate. Finally, based on the aforementioned conclusions, twenty technical issues are presented as the key points Liaoning province transport equipment industry should concentrate on and some corresponding suggestions are put forward, such as developing green manufacturing technologies, increasing capital input, strengthening personnel training, updating R&D base, promoting cooperation, promoting the formation of independent intellectual property rights, enhancing independent innovation ability, upgrading the technological level of products, constructing transport equipment manufacture industry cluster etc.