Research On The Analyse And Countermeasure Of Selling Electricity Risk Of Power Supply Enterprise In Electricity Markets

After the establishment of electric power generation side power market, the power supply enterprise and the electricity generation enterprise turn to two transaction sides, the power supply enterprise faces various risk. On the basis of analyzing electric power market transaction pattern and the selling electricity risk of the power supply enterprise, this thesis researches the countermeasure of electricity purchase quantity market allotment risk before the electricity's sell and measure of the electricity charge withdrawal risk. On the basis of the load and price forecast, according to the modern investment combination theory, under the consideration of expense factor, it establishes the best electricity purchase combination decision-making model, and carries on the optimization evaluation by inherits algorithm, then it determines a market optimization electric power quantity in order to dodge the risk of market's unreasonable distribute to the buying electricity quantity. Optimize the nerve network by inherits algorithm, and establish a electricity user credit appraisal model, and adopt different management methods to dodge the risk of taking back the electrical bill according to the credit appraisal result, and validate the two models'validity by demonstration.