The Study On Stock Price Fluctuations And Forecasting Methods

Efficient Market Theory has great impact on the characteristics of the stock market price movements, but with the constant deepening of research, it continuously suffered from both theoretical and empirical question. We can find that there are laws in the stock market price fluctuations, and we can predict the future stock price trends by the technical analysis.This paper shows the theoretical and empirical proof on the predictability of price fluctuations in the stock market, there is the trend of price fluctuations, cycle and price cycle. We can capture the future investment opportunities and risk alerts by using the time window and the price of domain, At the same time, this paper summed up this phenomenon on the basis of the price cycle and the cycle of the principle of resonance: There is a high probability turning point in the cycle When the price cycle experienced a cyclical, and there is a large probability of a turning point when the time window experienced price fluctuations in the market.According to this principle and jiangen theory, the paper created the "time and space resonance model". It is a new way of stock price trends analysis, We can find that the model has a high accuracy rate in the actual price trend analysis through empirical analysis, and there is a practical guide on the investment behavior.