Study On Agricultural Structure Adjustment Under Restriction Of Water Resources In North-West China

North-west shortage of water resources, uneven distribution of time and space, land and water resources do not match and fragile eco-environment, the development and utilization of water resources for socio-economic development and quality of the eco-environment should not be overlooked, however, mainly of food crops to the agricultural structure in North-west lead to the agricultural use of water account for more than 85 percent proportion to the economic use of water, serious misuse of industrial, life and ecological purposes use of water and impede the sustainable use of water resources and continuous improvement of eco-environment. Based on this, on the foundation of analysis the conflict between water resources utilization and agricultural structure,this paper point out that in order to ease the conflict between them, mainly of food production to agricultural structure must be adjusted: on the one hand, agricultural structure adjustment is an important component way of agriculture water-saving, through the transfer of agriculture water-saving can improve the status quo of water resources utilization, on the other hand, optimize the agricultural production structure can not only enhance the economic efficiency of agriculture, but also improve the quality of eco-environment. On this basis, we disscussed the feasible way of agricultural structure adjustment under the constraints of water resources in North-west,then analysis the way and incentive model of agricultural structure adjustment, and point out the countermeasure proposals in order to promote agricultural restructure. The full text is formed by seven chapter contents altogether.Chapter one: Introduction. Have described research background, purpose, meaning and dynamic study at home and abroad of the thesis mainly. Explain the research of this paper'thinking, method and possible innovation.Chapter two: The status quo analysis of water resources and agricultural structure in North-west. On the basis of describes the actuality and problems of water resources utilization and agricultural structure, this chapter point out the conflict between them mainly exhibit: mainly of food crops to agricultural structure cause the agricultural use of water squeeze ecological and non-agricultural water use. And further analysis the cause of conflict.Chapter three: Estimate of population carrying capacity based on agriculture water-saving transfer in North-west China. Through established the forecasting model of population carrying capacity based on the transfer of agriculture water-saving, discussed the population carrying capacity under different scenario of agriculture water-saving transfer. Analysis showed that the transfer of agriculture water-saving is the basis of carrying estimated future population, we should take all kinds of measures, particularly through agricultural restructure to fully excavate the potential of agriculture water-saving, and accelerate the pace of agriculture water-saving compensate transfer through establish the water rights trading market.Chapter four: Appraise on the level of coordinate development between agricultural economy and eco-environment under restriction of water resources. Through constructing agricultural economy and eco-environment Composite Index System, and introducting the coordinate development model of agricultural economy and eco-environment. The results show that the coordinate development level is very low between agricultural economy and eco-environment in North-west, the conflict between them is outstanding. In the future, we should strengthen agricultural structure adjustment; through change the agricultural production structure realize the positive cycle between agricultural economic development and eco-environment.Chapter five: Route analysis of agricultural structure adjustment under restriction of water resources in North-west China. On the basis of point out the necessary of agricultural structure adjustment under restriction of water resources, we discuss the feasibility of agricultural structure adjustment in North-west through analyse the impact factor of agricultural restructure, the correlation between agricultural water structure and agriculture production value structure, the level of contributions to improve agricultural water use efficiency through agricultural restructure. Then definite the basic way of agricultural structure adjustment under restriction of water resources in North-west China.Chapter six: Way and incentive mode analysis of agricultural structure adjustment under restriction of water resources in North-west China. In order to let farmers consciously participate in the adjustment of agricultural production structure driven by the mechanism of interests, then making the agricultural production structure accord with the basic way of agricultural structure adjustment under restriction of water resources, this chapter put forward the guiding idea and basic principles of agricultural structure adjustment, on the basis of this, we work out a incentive mode of three dimension market-driven mode.Chapter seven: Countermeasure proposals of promoting the agricultural structure adjustment under restriction of water resources in North-west China. In order to promote agricultural structure adjustment, this chapter put forward related countermeasure proposal as follows: vigorously promote the construction of water rights trading market, strively establish the system of valley unified management, and actively improve the construction of agricultural products'market environment, and so on.