The Choice Of Leading Industries In Guangxi Base On Pan-North Bay Economic Cooperation Region

The construction of Pan-North Bay economic cooperation region is a golden opportunity to Guangxi, but it also a daunting challenge to the lagging development of Guangxi economic and the backward industrial structure. How to adjust the industrial structure of Guangxi in the open economic conditions of the Pan-North Bay economic cooperation region is the issue which must be resolved when developing Guangxi economic. The History of World economic development shows that the development of regional economic and changes in the industrial structure is corresponding, and one of the main factors that impacting a country or region's economic development is the industrial structure and its adjustment of the country or region adjust, which mainly depends on the leading industries choice of the country or region. Therefore, in order to achieve a leap forward in Guangxi's economic development, it is necessary to do an intensive study in the industries and its structure. to Pan-North Bay economic cooperation zones as the starting point, and carry out the choice of leading industries in Guangxi systematically and scientifically, then seek the measures of industrial development, use the leading industry to promote the development of regional economic, and promote Guangxi's economy to achieve a new takeoff in the opportunity of the construction of Pan-North Bay economic cooperation region.Although the theory of Leading Industry is not a systematic and integrated academic discipline but there has been relatively mature research results in it. And these research results have provided the macro-scientific policy-making basis to various areas industry restructure and the regional economies policy. But looks over the predecessors'research of region leading industry, majority is transplants the national stratification plane leading industry choice theory to the regional economies and few is considering to regional economies' characteristic and the constraints. Although the theory of region leading industry belongs to the research category of regional economics and the industrial economics, but it was not equal to the miniature that is the leading industry of national economy in specific region, and it should define the leading industry from angle of region space characteristic. Moreover, predecessors'researches put the region leading industry appraise in a seal environment, so they has the big limitation. Guangxi is facing the significant historic opportunity of construct the Pan-North Bay economic cooperation region, utilizes this kind of choice method in an open economy environment is obviously impractical, therefore it is needed to carry on the re-construction to index system and re-selection model of Guangxi to adapt to the needs of economic development.From the "concept of the North Bay Economic Circle" to the implementation of the North Bay economic circle strategy, then to the formation of Pan-North Bay economic cooperation region, the Pan-North Bay economic cooperation region finally get the opportunities of regional development after 20 years'accumulation. Pan-North Bay economic cooperation is not only the interface between China and ASEAN area which is sub-region cooperative organization belongs to the framework of China - ASEAN Free Trade Area, but also the convergence point of "Pan-Pearl River Delta" region and China - ASEAN Free Trade Area, and is the most convenient access to the sea in southwest region of China. The ultimate goal of constructing cooperation area is to give full play to various countries' comparison superiority in the region, mutual benefit supplementary, promote industry transfer and division, enhance the region's overall competitive power with joint forces, and then turn the region into a completely open economic cooperation zone.Guangxi is located in multi-region cooperation centre junction of China - the ASEAN Free Trade Area, the Pan-North Bay, the Greater Mekong Sub-region and the Pan-Pearl River Delta Region, the six provincial capital areas in southwest and so on, and it is the only area in west of our country that has the land way and sea access at the same time, thus Guangxi has the unique irreplaceable geographical superiority in the Pan-North Bay economic cooperation region and is the bridge of regional economic cooperation. Under such regional condition the decision of leading industry in Guangxi must be based on the angle of open economy, and give full consideration to the region market size, the geographical position, the demand of production factor, the product factor, attracting investments and so on influencing factor of various aspects, and build the choice model of leading industries in Guangxi in conformity with the principle of comprehensive, scientific, the objective and the index of influence coefficient and sensitivity coefficient and so on, then determine the leading industry choice in Guangxi.Although Guangxi leading industries which chosen according to the theoretical model are more objective, but also have certain limitation because of the lag or distortion of data. So it is needed to carry on qualitative analysis on the restriction factor and the advantage of developing the Guangxi leading industry under the environment of Pan-North Bay economic cooperation region , then combine the two, has selected the petrochemical industry, the tourism, the logistics, the metal smelting and rolling processing industry, the communication and facilities manufacturing industry, the papermaking printing and culture and education supplies manufacturing industry, the general special purpose equipment manufacturing industry, the communication facility computer and other electronic installation manufacturing industry, the food processing and the tobacco processing industry finally as the Guangxi leading industries According to the result of leading industry choice, giving full consideration to the historical background of China - ASEAN Free Trade Area as well as the Pan-North Bay economic cooperation zone, the paper has proposed the strategic mode of developing leading industries in Guangxi as follows: adopt the inclined advance pattern in the development strategy of industrial structure; display comparison superiority, construct industry echelon shift system of Guangdong, the Hong Kong and Macao---Guangxi---Vietnam, Laos, Cambodia, Burma; promote the region industry restructure depending on the connection effect of leading industry; advance the industrialization development positively, enhance the proportion of the second industry. Based on the strategic mode, putting forward the concrete countermeasure proposal to Guangxi's leading industry development as follows: First, prioritize the physical distribution industry, construct the Physical distribution Base in North Bay economic region; Second, develop the automotive industry vigorously, makes the nationality brand of automobile; Third, take full advantage of rich tourist resources, realize the cluster development of tourism industry ; Fourth, develop tertiary industry positively which take the convention industry, the real estate industry, the finance industry as the key industry; Fifth, take the petrochemical industry as the breach, speeds up the advancement of industrialization.