Development Trend Research On Commodity Residential Real Estate Market In Hefei

On the basis of analysis to the current situation of Hefei residential real estate industry, this paper applied economics,statistics and gray system theories to study authenticaly the development tendency of the residential commodity houses of Hefei.This paper included five parts.It discussed the research backdrop and significance in the fast part.The second part is some fundamentals of residential real estate industry. It analyzed the current situation and pointed out the existed problems of Hefei in the third part.With the full and accurate data, the fourth part had forecasted the development tendency of Hefei residential real estate market from two aspects of supply and demand.The paper studied the relationship between the supply of residential real estate investment and GDP on Hefei.The paper applied the GM(1,1) model to establish the gray forecast model of Hefei commodity housing investment.On the basis of gray relational analysis method, it demonstrated the main factors affect the commodity housing demand. Finally, the paper estimated the domestic demand in construction in Hefei city for the next few years.On the basis of the research what had made, part five argued the development prospect of Hefei residential market and put forward some corresponding policy proposals.