Analyzing And Forecasting On The Emergence Time Of China's Secondary Industry Inflexion

For developing countries, industrialization always be their goal. Since the "10th Five-Year" plan of our country, what kind of industrialization to take has become a very important issue. Chinese scholars also have released different academic perspectives about industrialization.Based on the existing theory of the industrial structure, the author has analysised the industrial set-ups evolution law of developed country and newly industrializing countries. We come to the following conclusions through research on the above data, the first one is that there is a period of parallel developing of secondary industry and tertiary industry in the process of industrialization.The second one is that secondary industry share of GDP will descend, tertiary industry share of GDP will rise when the inflection of secondary industry appears. Then this article has given the reason that why secondary industry and tertiary industry in the process of industrialization parallelly develop.Finally, based on the international comparison and the actual situation of China, discuss the emergence time of China's secondary industry inflexion.