The Central Area Industrial Structure Servicizing Evolution And Empirical Analysis

At present, the feature of China's industrial structure presents the third industry proportion improved markedly, the second industry remained relatively stable, the first industry reduce. "Transformation the mode of economic development" is report presented in the 17th party congress, President hu indicated:"Comprehensive judgment the domestic and international economic situation, transformation the mode of economic development is urgent" in 2010 on the central school of the symposium. The author thinks, transformation the mode of economic development depends heavily on technology and raising the level of industrial structure, the industrial structure servicizing will become inevitable choice our country accelerate transformation the mode of economic development.Research the central area industrial structure servicizing, this paper around central region industrial structure evolution discussed. First, summarizes recent industrial structure and the related theory research. Secondly, by using descriptive statistics method, from central region provinces tertiary industry evolution rule, the third industry structure characteristics and the third industry employment structure and characteristics of the angles of central area of the development situation of the industrial structure and edt descriptive analysis. Again, use per capita GDP and urbanization rate index, respectively through AR model and Joseph's curve prediction per capita GDP and urbanization rate, calculate the provinces of central area industrial structure and edt inflexion point occurrence time. According to the given GDP 3000 dollars per capita and urbanization rate of 50% industry is enough, it is concluded that the service standard central region are in 2014 provinces to occur before the industrial structure and edt. In order to welcome the arrival of industrial structure and edt, accelerate the central regions economic growth, proposes central area industrial structure in the future development direction and advice service.