| The impact of foreign trade on economic growth has come into an important issue for the academic research since World WarⅡ.But many studies are concentrated on the influence of export on economic growth. However foreign trade includes both export and import. It is necessary to research the effect of import on economic growth. Since 2001 China has entered WTO, the import of China has been increasing rapidly as the tariff being dropped and no-tariff Barrier being reduced. We can't neglect the affection of the import to the economic growth as before. How much does the import affect the economic? What can we do in order to utilize the positive effect of import to economic growth? So it's meaningful to analyze correlation between the import and economic growth of China, Which is why I choose this topic.This dissertation comprises six chapters. Chapter 1 introduces purpose of selecting this topic, research methods and looks back on relative studies and researches on the effect of import on economic growth at home and abroad, and gives summaries of them. Chapter 2 is retrospect and analysis of China's Import trade strategy, introduce its histor- ical development and developing strategy. Chapter 3 and Chapter 4 are two important parts of this dissertation. In the two chapters, Using the data of international trade,GDP and thirteen industries of our nation from 1995 to 2005, makes an practical analysis. Adv- anced econometric methods of time series analysis, such as co-integration test, Granger causality test, factor analysis and principal components have been adopted to testify the impact of import on China's economic growth. These empirical tests are carried out as follows: Import-trade has a significant impetus to economic growth through these cond- uction variables——every industry except it has a negative effect on the Mining Industry. Chapter 5 is an analysis of the conclusion of the above practical analysis. Chapter 6 is an overall summary of this dissertation. |
PDF Full Text Request