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The Study On Relationship Between Energy Consumption And Economy Growth During Industry Structure Evolvement In China

Posted on:2010-11-17Degree:MasterType:Thesis
Country:ChinaCandidate:C H LuoFull Text:PDF
GTID:2189360275974933Subject:Industrial Economics
Abstract/Summary:PDF Full Text Request
Energy is an important resource of the survival and development of human society, energy security becomes an important economic and social development constraints. To construct an environment-friendly society, the realization of China's energy and the economy coordinated sustainable development has become an urgent issue. Therefore in this paper qualitative and quantitative analyses method has comparison used to study on the relationship between energy consumption and economic growth during industry structure evolving such as input-output technology, modern dynamic econometric analysis tools like co-integration ,Granger cause test and stat-space model.In this paper, the studies on relation between energy, economic and industry structure at native and foreign are reviewed briefly. The course of industry structure change after reform and opening, the trend of industry structure evolvement in China at present, the situation of energy and faced requirement to save energy are analyzed. A series of modern dynamic econometric analysis tools are used in testing the time causality and quantity relation between energy consumption. The result shows that GDP Granger cause energy consumption; therefore to take energy-saving measures is feasibility. The variation tendency of China's energy consumption flexibility is tally closely with the trend of industry structure evolvement. It reflects institutional change during economic development and the fact that there is energy bottleneck effect in China.At the same time, based on the fact that energy consumption is influenced by industry structure, Input-output technology is used to build an input-output calculation model about energy consumption intensity to study the relationship between energy consumption and economic growth at technical link of industry perspective. The factors that impact on energy consumption intensity are four dimension : generalized technological advances, changes in the overall consumption structure are brought industrialization, the industrial structure changes , the end-use changes related to consumption, investment and import and export demand structure. And the change of China's energy intensity is analyzed by use 2002 and 2005 input-output table. It was found that improvement of energy technique efficiency is the main reason to reduce energy consumption in recent years. The changes that are caused by China's industrial structure "heavy-industrialization ", as well as complication of internal links between different division raised by the level of economic development, as well as the change of the structure of demand about end use product all cause increase of energy consumption in the overall. The demand of high energy-consuming products is decided by the consumer structure upgrade and urbanization of life style of residents that are caused by social progress at present. It is inevitable results brought by intermediate demand increase with the industrialization rapidly develop. To improve energy direct use efficiency is the main way to reduce energy consumption in the future. So in the paper, policy proposals are proposed to coordination develop energy and economic.
Keywords/Search Tags:Energy consumption, Economic growth, industry structure evolvement, Industrialization process
PDF Full Text Request
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