The Study Of Development Of Passenger Car In Hohhot

With the development of economy , the improvement of people's living standard and the accelerating pace of urban construction ,As the important part of the urban public transport, Passenger car win more and more city residents' favor with its own advantages, However, due to the development of our taxi experienced a period of rapid growth , Development planning of the taxi is not reasonable which cause most cities' management of passenger taxi confusion, parking is unreasonable , illegal operation and a series phenomenon of influence of city appearance in China at present.As the capital of Inner Mongolia, Hohhot is also facing these problems, So with transportation management fund project of Hohhot "With regard to Development strategy research report of passenger taxi in Hohhot " , this subject is to find accurate positioning and let thoughts become clearer, And finally establish city taxi development scale prediction model of Hohhot in order to provide reasonable scientific development of the taxi in Hohhot, Under operation condition of passenger taxi investigation.In this text, to begin with the position and function of urban passenger system in Hohhot, to found out the existing problems in the development of the taxi So as to make the scientific prediction for taxi scale. Secondly, Some basic principles of taxi development scale forecasting methods are introduced, Which Including the balance of supply and demand forecasting method , Neural network method, Exponential smoothing and predictive regression method. Through analyzing and comparing of these methods, in the final, determine the forecasting methods in this text.This text compare with Residents of Hohhot travel status In 2006, Survey and analysis get and the development of city taxi's supply and demand in Hohhot at present, And finally the results using neural network method to analysis and draw expectations chart of OD of residents, Finally, Through software of SPSS to analysis the correlation and significant of 12 Influence factors of taxi, Eventually got five independent variable: the lengths of urban roads , Urban per capita consumption expenditure, Passenger transport, population of urban and tourism, And through regression model to establish development scale forecast model of city taxi in Hohhot, And to predict the scale of taxi in Hohhot and analysis the trend.