Research On Vegetable Supply Security In Beijing

With the development of economy and city, the population will increase intensively and the agriculture structure will modify a lot. Vegetable is the daily necessary for people's life. Vegetable supply security becomes an important part of society supply. The paper uses modern management science and methods. We set up the security system model to analyze vegetable supply state based on the data collected from many objects in vegetable supply chain. Then make analyses from both quality and quantity angles. At last give some suggestions to help government department make strategies and develop plan. Main tasks list as follows:1. We define "vegetable supply security" and sum up the worldwide research on related area including vegetable supply chain, resource supply security and so on.2. Sum up the characters of vegetable supply; find the existing problems in vegetable supply of Beijing.3. Set up the vegetable supply security research system, and make analyze from both vegetable supply quantity and quality. This is so different from the definition which is in most of people's mind that supply security is just for food quality.4. Use Gray Cluster Theory, choose index, collect data and set up the model, then get the result of vegetable supply security in Beijing by calculate.5. Bring forward the thought that paying more attention on forecast is the most helpful method to make sure of supply security. Taking Xinfadi Farm-product Market as an example, use the Scenarios Analysis to forecast vegetable demand in Market.6. At last, we give some suggestion to guide making related rules base on our analyze result.