The Study Of Financial Crisis Early-Warning System

From the U.S. sub-prime mortgage crisis caused by Wall Street turmoil has evolved into a global financial crisis. This process is rapid development, large quantities, giant impact, are the people expected. Financial globalization and financial liberalization to countries in the world has brought great economic benefits. But at the same time. As the economic interaction between countries is increasingly high financial risks they face, is also growing. In a complex financial environment,To achieve early warning of financial crises became the domestic financial system to maintain the stability of the key. China's market economy system has a different from the Western developed countries and other emerging market economies, characteristics, Construction of a crisis in our financial system for the early warning system, Promoting the stable development of China's economy has great practical significance.This article focuses on domestic and foreign scholars through a summary of research results and research, Building can reflect the status of China's financial system operation indicators.The use of discrete dependent variable models (Logit model) the establishment of the financial crisis early warning system, The information through the interpretation of model output in combination with qualitative analysis of the real, China's short-term stability of the financial system has made a trend forecast.