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Comprehensive Evaluation And Prediction Of Hebei Urbanization

Posted on:2011-10-10Degree:MasterType:Thesis
Country:ChinaCandidate:J W HaoFull Text:PDF
GTID:2189360308954310Subject:Statistics
Abstract/Summary:PDF Full Text Request
Urbanization is an inevitable promotion of human socio-economic development trends, accelerating the urbanization process of China's economic and social development of great importance. At present, China's urbanization has entered a rapid development period, but For a long time, Hebei Province's level of urbanization is still lower than national average level, and lag behind its economic development level. In this context, a correct understanding of the status quo of urbanization development in Hebei Province, accurately grasp the urbanization of the main factors, the general rule, response strategies and supporting policies, it is very important.The remainder of the article is organized as follows. Section 1 reviews the relevant background, research significance and the relevant literature. Section 2 analyzes the basic connotation of urbanization, measurement methods and the law of evolution. The developmental level of urbanization process in Hebei province is generally analysis in Section 3. Section 4 constructs a comprehensive evaluation index system about developmental level of urbanization. Section 5 using factor analysis comprehensive evaluates developmental level of urbanization in Hebei province, determines the main impact factor of urbanization development, and using time series method exponential smoothing model for the future of Hebei province urbanization trends to predict. Finally, based on the evaluation and analysis of targeted put forward proposes relative countermeasures to promote the healthy development of urbanization in Hebei province.
Keywords/Search Tags:Urbanization, Factor Analysis, Exponential Smoothing Model, Hebei Province
PDF Full Text Request
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