Research On The Relationship Between Industrial Structure And Economic Growth Of Xinjiang Production And Construction Corps

Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps (hereinafter referred to as "Corps") is a special organization which shoulder the historical mission. Corps industrial structure and economic growth not only concerns the development of the Corps and the stability in border areas, but also concerns the construction of hannonious society.Therefore, the research of the relationship between Corps structure and economic growth becomes very meaningful. In the review of Corps historical relationship between industrial structure and economic growth, then based on qualitative analysis of the current industrial situation Corps, Corps current economic growth; using the linear regression model, VAR model to invest the relationship between industrial Structure and Economic growth, furthermore use static and dynamic Shift-Share Analysis for measuring the combined share of the Corps subordinate empirical adjustment of industrial structure of the Corps division contribution to economic growth,Through the above qualitative and quantitative methods, this paper outlines status of the corps structure; predict economies of scale in Xinjiang after 5 years to reach 81.525 billion yuan; industrial restructuring and economic growth have a causal relationship, on the one hand, Corps economies of scale to better promote the expansion of the industrial structure adjustment, on the other hand, optimization of industrial structure adjustment will further promote economic growth; from the long term, Corps three industries have a long-term contribution to the economic growth:the first industrial output value increased by one percentage point each will lead to changes 0.32 percentage points in GDP; secondary industry output value increased by one percentage point increase would lead to 0.36 percentage point in GDP; tertiary industry output value increased by one percentage point increase would lead to 0.31 percentage points in GDP;in the short term, the flexibility between Corps of primary industry and GDP was 0.42, the flexibility between the second industrial output and GDP is 0.34, and the flexibility the tertiary industry and GDP is 0.21; in addition, from the short-term error correction equation of view, error correction coefficient is negative (statistically significant), consistent with the reverse error correction, error correction coefficient is 0.15, indicating that the corps economic growth is so volatile, the average annual deviation from long-term equilibrium level of the previous year's short-term adjustment is 15%; Corps divisions are divided into three categories, first class location for competitiveness of the relative well industrial structure and strength of the division, the second location for the competitiveness of comparative advantage, but the relatively poor industrial structure division, the third location for the competitiveness of comparative advantage, but the relatively poor effect of industrial restructuring division. Based on the above analysis of the results, the policy of industrial restructuring and economic growth of the relevant recommendations.