| At the beginning of new century, with china entry to world trade organization, the synthesize resin industry of china facing challenge of globalization, at the same time, facing European, US and nearing country's invest in new petrochemical project goal on china market in recently. Western country build huge size petrochemical plant with advanced technology will be operating; the competition will be more seriously. In the year 2000, the total production of china has reach to 10.8 million tons of 6.6 percent of globe production. Ranked in fifth position of world behind USA, Japan, German, and Korea. China imports synthesize resin and fundamental plastic material 15.59million tons in 2003. Among this, the main five synthesize resins occupy 10.13 million tons. Resin and plastic net import 11.15 million tons. Among this, the main five resin occupy 0.995 million tons, separately increase 9.58% and 8.02% than year 1999. The apparent consumption is 21.96 million tons in 2000 increased 15% than 1999, china occupy 13.4% resin consumption in the world, that rank in the second position behind USA of 36.62 million tons. However, the average consumption only 17 kilograms in china, average production not reach to 8 kilogram much less than developed country's 100 kilogram, also lower than 27-kilogram world average level. The synthesize resin increasing demand of economy repaid growing more than production capacity grow, half of synthesize resin demand in domestic market depend on import. In history view, the synthesize resin demand grows rapidly than GDP grow. According resin demand forecast, it will be 27 million tons in china market in 2005. Moreover, 39 million tons in 2010. Huge market potential demand brings beauty foreground for synthesize resin industry in china. Recently, petrochemical improvement project and Giant company invest huge petrochemical project such as: 600KT polyethylene enlarge project, YPC second polyethylene enlarge project and 200KT/Y Gas-state Polypropylene Plant, sinopec-spc new polyethylene project and 200KT/Y Polypropylene plant, JV IPS project 600KT/Year polyethylene of BASF and YPC Co, JV of BP and Sinopec-SPC 900KT/Y polyethylene Project. EXXON-MOBIL and Sinopec Build JV polyethylene Project in Fujian Province, NANHAI project with 800KT/Y polyethylene of Shell and Cnooc cooperation.Otherwise, in the world market, china resins market completion become more seriously for huge petrochemical project invests in china. The new polyethylene capacity increases 6.6 million tons in the year 2000. Reach to the peak in the history. From 2000 to now, forecast market resin price changing trend reflect the world market situation.According to GATT rules, after china entry to WTO, the tax rate of resin will reduce gradually from 16% to 6.5% in 2008. At the same time, foreign resin products will flow into china market.In the domestic market, we face competers whom are after integrated huge petrochemical cooperation in the world.After many years developed, china synical resin industry developed very well by the improve technical. As Polypropylene for a sample, Polypropylene Plant design, production capacity is 2.47 million tons and real production reach to 3.0 million tons in the year 2000. Throughout solution some bottleneck of technical, the production capacity can reach to 120% of design capacity. The R&D catalyzer of polymer promote synthesize resin industry technical progress. The catalyzers of polyethylene apply in the plant in china and export to foreign country.There is a long way to reach advanced level of world. The average material consumption of polymer process much high than advance level, in the structure of production, high value products percentage lower than the world, for instance, the main five resin production in 89% of total in the year 2000. Compare with that, 86% in USA, 72% in Japan, 56% in German, and average of world is 71%.With opportunity of china entry to WTO, the key solution of synthesize resin industry is promote tech p... |
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